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Air China Limited
OTCPK:AICAF
中國 / 工業 / 客運航空
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綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
0.60
USD
公允價值
0.42
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
13.8% - 12.8%
13.3%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
2.6x - 2.9x
2.7x
Fair Value
$0.35 - $0.50
$0.42
Upside
-41.5% - -16.5%
-29.4%
2.0%
Revenue 10y CAGR
21.5%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
NM
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
0.60
USD
公允價值
0.42
USD
看漲
-29.4%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(CNY in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
166,699
181,035
191,424
202,306
203,323
203,323
203,323
203,323
203,323
203,323
203,323
% Growth
18.1%
8.6%
5.7%
5.7%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
EBITDA
12,634
35,707
39,499
44,157
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
% of Revenue
7.6%
19.7%
20.6%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
21.8%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
35,707
39,499
44,157
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
44,379
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(27,705)
(29,396)
(19,245)
(18,914)
(18,914)
(18,914)
(18,914)
(18,914)
(18,914)
(18,914)
EBIT
8,002
10,103
24,912
25,465
25,465
25,465
25,465
25,465
25,465
25,465
Pro forma Taxes
(720)
(909)
(2,242)
(2,292)
(2,292)
(2,292)
(2,292)
(2,292)
(2,292)
(2,292)
NOPAT
(758)
7,282
9,193
22,670
23,173
23,173
23,173
23,173
23,173
23,173
23,173
Capital Expenditures
(20,104)
(22,000)
(20,494)
(29,253)
(14,000)
(21,249)
(21,249)
(18,833)
(18,833)
(18,833)
(18,833)
NWC Investment
5,161
2,890
2,095
2,194
205
0
0
0
0
0
0
(+) D&A
13,466
27,705
29,396
19,245
18,914
18,914
18,914
18,914
18,914
18,914
18,914
Free Cash Flow
(2,235)
15,877
20,190
14,856
28,292
20,838
20,838
23,255
23,255
23,255
23,255
% Growth
27%
-26%
90%
-26%
0%
12%
0%
0%
0%
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