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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.1x - 2.3x | 2.2x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Fair Value | $39.76 - $43.49 | $41.62 |
Upside | -19.7% - -12.1% | -15.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Focus Universal Inc. | FCUV | NasdaqCM:FCUV |
Trimble Inc. | TRMB | NasdaqGS:TRMB |
SmartRent, Inc. | SMRT | NYSE:SMRT |
MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. | MSAI | NasdaqCM:MSAI |
Zebra Technologies Corporation | ZBRA | NasdaqGS:ZBRA |
M-tron Industries, Inc. | MPTI | NYSEAM:MPTI |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FCUV | TRMB | SMRT | MSAI | ZBRA | MPTI | |||
NasdaqCM:FCUV | NasdaqGS:TRMB | NYSE:SMRT | NasdaqCM:MSAI | NasdaqGS:ZBRA | NYSEAM:MPTI | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -22.9% | 2.4% | 37.0% | NM- | 2.1% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | -34.8% | 0.2% | 16.5% | -36.4% | -4.0% | 22.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -9.6% | -3.0% | -26.2% | 36.3% | 8.7% | 19.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -620.9% | 14.8% | -42.6% | -221.8% | 15.6% | 12.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -1124.0% | 14.9% | -16.4% | -352.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -1557.3% | 13.0% | -24.4% | -250.7% | 15.4% | 19.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1557.3% | 13.0% | -24.4% | -250.7% | 15.4% | 19.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 68.86x | 4.00x | 0.06x | 3.30x | 2.62x | 2.68x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -4.4x | 30.7x | -0.2x | -1.3x | 17.1x | 14.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 77.65x | 3.89x | 0.83x | 3.85x | 2.33x | 2.94x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.06x | 3.30x | 68.86x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.77x | 2.48x | 2.68x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.11x | 2.22x | 2.33x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 49 | 49 | 49 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 103 | 109 | 114 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 13 | 13 | 13 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 116 | 121 | 127 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 39.86 | 41.73 | 43.60 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 39.86 | 41.73 | 43.60 | 49.49 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.5% | -15.7% | -11.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FCUV | TRMB | SMRT | MSAI | ZBRA | MPTI | |
Enterprise Value | 27 | 14,724 | 10 | 24 | 12,934 | 131 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4 | 739 | 142 | 4 | 901 | 13 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 361 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (0) | (1,514) | (8) | (0) | (2,362) | (0) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 31 | 14,310 | 145 | 29 | 11,583 | 144 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.8 | 245.8 | 192.7 | 33.0 | 51.4 | 2.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.57 | 58.22 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 225.44 | 49.49 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.57 | 58.22 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 225.44 | 49.49 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |