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10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
93.35
USD
公允價值
112.06
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
12.0% - 11.0%
11.5%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
0.8x - 0.9x
0.8x
Fair Value
$100.11 - $124.77
$112.06
Upside
7.2% - 33.7%
20.0%
1.9%
Revenue 10y CAGR
10.7%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
11.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
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儲存
股價
93.35
USD
公允價值
112.06
USD
看漲
20.0%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
16,607
15,648
15,560
16,264
17,370
18,130
18,493
18,862
19,240
19,624
20,017
% Growth
-14.6%
-5.8%
-0.6%
4.5%
6.8%
4.4%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
1,217
1,390
1,500
1,632
1,920
2,029
2,070
2,111
2,153
2,196
2,240
% of Revenue
7.3%
8.9%
9.6%
10.0%
11.1%
11.2%
11.2%
11.2%
11.2%
11.2%
11.2%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
1,390
1,500
1,632
1,920
2,029
2,070
2,111
2,153
2,196
2,240
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(356)
(363)
(379)
(438)
(446)
(455)
(464)
(473)
(483)
(492)
EBIT
1,035
1,137
1,254
1,482
1,583
1,615
1,647
1,680
1,713
1,748
Pro forma Taxes
(217)
(239)
(263)
(311)
(332)
(339)
(346)
(353)
(360)
(367)
NOPAT
702
817
898
990
1,171
1,251
1,276
1,301
1,327
1,354
1,381
Capital Expenditures
(451)
(450)
(455)
(535)
(504)
(526)
(522)
(517)
(522)
(520)
(520)
NWC Investment
(112)
(38)
(3)
28
43
30
14
15
15
15
15
(+) D&A
328
356
363
379
438
446
455
464
473
483
492
Free Cash Flow
468
685
803
862
1,148
1,200
1,223
1,262
1,294
1,331
1,369
% Growth
17%
7%
33%
5%
2%
3%
2%
3%
3%
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