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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 16.1x - 17.8x | 17.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12.7x - 14.1x | 13.4x |
| Fair Value | $220.65 - $248.13 | $234.39 |
| Upside | -18.2% - -8.0% | -13.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Knife River Corporation | KNF | NYSE:KNF |
| CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. | CX | NYSE:CX |
| James Hardie Industries plc | JHX | NYSE:JHX |
| Eagle Materials Inc. | EXP | NYSE:EXP |
| Titan Cement International S.A. | TTCI.F | OTCPK:TTCI.F |
| Vulcan Materials Company | VMC | NYSE:VMC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KNF | CX | JHX | EXP | TTCI.F | VMC | ||
| NYSE:KNF | NYSE:CX | NYSE:JHX | NYSE:EXP | OTCPK:TTCI.F | NYSE:VMC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 5.7% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 10.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 17.0% | -1.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 30.2% | 14.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.5% | -11.9% | 1.1% | -2.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.5% | 16.9% | 26.5% | 32.3% | 17.2% | 25.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.3% | 17.0% | 25.2% | 33.7% | 20.5% | 25.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.1% | 16.5% | 28.6% | 34.3% | 21.2% | 27.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.3% | 15.7% | 27.8% | 34.0% | 21.5% | 28.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.23x | 0.95x | 2.85x | 3.77x | 1.27x | 5.46x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.5x | 6.1x | 10.2x | 11.1x | 5.9x | 19.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.4x | 9.4x | 12.6x | 13.8x | 8.0x | 28.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 10.2x | 14.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 18.2x | 24.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.1x | 17.0x | 17.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,133 | 2,133 | 2,133 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 34,351 | 36,159 | 37,967 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,345) | (5,345) | (5,345) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 29,006 | 30,814 | 32,622 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 132.1 | 132.1 | 132.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 219.57 | 233.26 | 246.94 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 219.57 | 233.26 | 246.94 | 269.63 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.6% | -13.5% | -8.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KNF | CX | JHX | EXP | TTCI.F | VMC | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,460 | 14,748 | 11,107 | 8,539 | 3,384 | 40,964 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 86 | 1,179 | 539 | 31 | 449 | 181 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 52 | 768 | 0 | 136 | 0 | 31 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,219) | (6,763) | (1,188) | (1,042) | (728) | (5,533) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (296) | 0 | 0 | (137) | (24) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,380 | 9,636 | 10,458 | 7,664 | 2,968 | 35,619 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 56.7 | 1,503.2 | 429.9 | 33.3 | 74.2 | 132.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 94.96 | 6.41 | 24.33 | 230.23 | 39.99 | 269.63 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 94.96 | 6.41 | 24.33 | 230.23 | 45.00 | 269.63 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 1.00 | |