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MPW -9.3%WELL -6.0%DOC -5.3%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

National Health Investors Inc

NYSE:NHI

美國 / 地產 / 醫療保健REITs

DDM 多階段

股價

71.44 USD

公允價值

56.32 USD

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	4.8% - 5.3%	5.0%
Discount Rate	11.6% - 10.6%	11.1%
Fair Value	$50.66 - $63.56	$56.32
Upside	-31.4% - -14.0%	-23.8%

3.60

Current Dividend per Share

4.9%

Current Dividend Yield

-4.9%

3yr Avg Div Growth

0.2%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

71.44 USD

公允價值

56.32 USD

看漲

-23.8%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(USD in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	138	143	157	162	185		202	202
% Growth	1.7%	4.1%	9.5%	3.3%	14.3%		9.1%

Payout Ratio	113.5%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	157	157	141	146	167		182	187
% Growth		0.0%	-9.6%	3.3%	14.3%		9.1%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(USD in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	195	183	162	156	157		156	157
% Growth		-6%	-12%	-3%	0%			0%

Net Income to Common	185	112	66	136	138		136	138
% Growth		-40%	-41%	104%	2%			2%

Payout Ratio	105%	164%	244%	115%	114%		115%	114%
Retention Ratio	-5%	-64%	-144%	-15%	-14%		-15%	-14%

Adjusted EBITDA	305	265	215	249	260		249	260
% Growth		-13%	-19%	16%	5%			5%

Total Debt	1,506	1,243	1,148	1,137	1,148		1,137	1,148
Shareholder's Equity	1,512	1,507	1,270	1,254	1,366		1,254	1,366

Debt / EBITDA	4.9	4.7	5.3	4.6	4.4			4.2
Debt / Equity	100%	82%	90%	91%	84%		91%	84%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	-4.9%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	115.2%

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