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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 7.0x - 7.7x | 7.4x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 6.9x - 9.0x | 8.6x |
Fair Value | $189.10 - $209 | $199.05 |
Upside | -19.0% - -10.4% | -14.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | - | NYSE:AJG |
Brown & Brown, Inc. | - | NYSE:BRO |
Aon plc | - | NYSE:AON |
Goosehead Insurance, Inc | - | NasdaqGS:GSHD |
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | - | NasdaqGS:WTW |
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | - | NYSE:MMC |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AJG | BRO | AON | GSHD | WTW | MMC | |||
NYSE:AJG | NYSE:BRO | NYSE:AON | NasdaqGS:GSHD | NasdaqGS:WTW | NYSE:MMC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 16.9% | 19.7% | 11.6% | 53.5% | NM- | 18.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 17.3% | 19.5% | 28.4% | 77.9% | NM- | 8.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 50.9% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 115.2% | -109.3% | 8.1% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.2% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 16.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.4% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 9.7% | -1.0% | 16.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 9.7% | -1.0% | 16.6% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | 15.1% | 156.0% | 63.0% | 9.7% | 29.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.7% | 16.8% | NM | 73.2% | 10.8% | 33.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 16.4% | 86.7% | 84.7% | -1.1% | 31.8% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 13.8% | 17.3% | 52.5% | 142.5% | 20.5% | 32.7% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 14.8% | 16.4% | 44.9% | 163.2% | 21.2% | 30.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 7.8x | 7.2x | 5.2x | 13.0x | 3.2x | 4.7x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 58.4x | 34.7x | 30.6x | 88.5x | -327.3x | 28.3x | ||
Price / Book | 4.2x | 5.3x | 13.3x | 92.6x | 4.0x | 8.6x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 3.8x | 4.6x | 10.0x | 64.7x | 3.9x | 7.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 4.0x | 5.3x | 92.6x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 6.9x | 8.6x | 9.0x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 7.0x | 7.4x | 7.7x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 13,342 | 13,342 | 13,342 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AJG | BRO | AON | GSHD | WTW | MMC | |
Value of Common Equity | 85,421 | 34,069 | 81,281 | 2,693 | 32,075 | 115,014 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 255.7 | 286.6 | 216.0 | 24.7 | 99.7 | 492.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 334.02 | 118.86 | 376.30 | 108.97 | 321.74 | 233.34 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 334.02 | 118.86 | 376.30 | 108.97 | 321.74 | 233.34 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |