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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | -43.0x - -47.5x | -45.2x |
Historical Pb Multiple | -44.3x - -18.9x | -35.3x |
Fair Value | $228.24 - $252.26 | $240.25 |
Upside | -27.2% - -19.6% | -23.4% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | - | NYSE:CMG |
Brinker International, Inc. | - | NYSE:EAT |
Potbelly Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:PBPB |
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RRGB |
Good Times Restaurants Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:GTIM |
McDonald's Corporation | - | NYSE:MCD |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CMG | EAT | PBPB | RRGB | GTIM | MCD | |||
NYSE:CMG | NYSE:EAT | NasdaqGS:PBPB | NasdaqGS:RRGB | NasdaqCM:GTIM | NYSE:MCD | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 34.4% | 0.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 6.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 32.9% | 5.7% | NM- | NM- | -54.2% | 2.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 20.4% | 119.1% | 1068.8% | -265.3% | -78.1% | -5.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.0% | 3.0% | -3.4% | -8.7% | 2.1% | 29.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | -1.6% | 8.0% | 33.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.6% | 3.5% | 8.7% | -6.2% | 1.1% | 31.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | -6.2% | 1.6% | 31.8% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 35.6% | 1096.1% | -98.9% | -433.1% | 7.2% | NA | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 45.3% | NM | 53.4% | -2373.2% | 37.5% | NM | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 45.6% | 257.5% | 117.5% | NM | 7.3% | NM | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 44.0% | 203.9% | 13.9% | 29.5% | 6.1% | -481.7% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 49.3% | 83.4% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 392.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.0x | 1.2x | 0.7x | 0.0x | 0.1x | 8.7x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 44.4x | 18.2x | 7.1x | -0.6x | 9.0x | 27.5x | ||
Price / Book | 19.9x | 23.5x | 5.2x | -0.6x | 0.6x | -59.0x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 18.0x | 17.0x | 4.7x | -0.4x | 0.6x | 1601.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | -0.6x | 5.2x | 23.5x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | -44.3x | -35.3x | -18.9x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | -43.0x | -45.2x | -47.5x | |||||
(x) Book Value | (3,797) | (3,797) | (3,797) |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CMG | EAT | PBPB | RRGB | GTIM | MCD | |
Value of Common Equity | 66,991 | 6,089 | 298 | 49 | 19 | 224,304 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,347.4 | 44.5 | 30.2 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 715.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 49.72 | 136.98 | 9.87 | 2.78 | 1.82 | 313.68 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 49.72 | 136.98 | 9.87 | 2.78 | 1.82 | 313.68 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |