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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17.7x - 19.6x | 18.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15.7x - 17.3x | 16.5x |
| Fair Value | $276 - $312.14 | $294.07 |
| Upside | -11.4% - 0.2% | -5.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | CBRL | NasdaqGS:CBRL |
| BAB, Inc. | BABB | OTCPK:BABB |
| The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | CAKE | NasdaqGS:CAKE |
| Papa John's International, Inc. | PZZA | NasdaqGS:PZZA |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc. | QSR | NYSE:QSR |
| McDonald's Corporation | MCD | NYSE:MCD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CBRL | BABB | CAKE | PZZA | QSR | MCD | ||
| NasdaqGS:CBRL | OTCPK:BABB | NasdaqGS:CAKE | NasdaqGS:PZZA | NYSE:QSR | NYSE:MCD | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -13.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 31.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -10.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -16.2% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 1.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.0% | 16.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 35.0% | 51.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 17.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 33.2% | 53.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 19.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 30.8% | 53.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 19.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 30.8% | 53.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.60x | 1.11x | 1.19x | 1.11x | 4.57x | 10.69x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.2x | 5.8x | 14.5x | 8.6x | 14.9x | 19.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.9x | 5.8x | 22.0x | 11.7x | 16.5x | 23.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 11.2x | 14.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.4x | 19.9x | 22.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.7x | 18.6x | 19.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 13,949 | 13,949 | 13,949 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 247,115 | 260,121 | 273,127 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (48,159) | (48,159) | (48,159) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 198,956 | 211,962 | 224,968 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 714.5 | 714.5 | 714.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 278.47 | 296.67 | 314.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 278.47 | 296.67 | 314.88 | 311.58 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -10.6% | -4.8% | 1.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CBRL | BABB | CAKE | PZZA | QSR | MCD | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,092 | 4 | 4,491 | 2,317 | 37,755 | 270,771 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 10 | 2 | 84 | 38 | 1,335 | 1,119 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 2,710 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,183) | (0) | (1,908) | (971) | (15,926) | (51,988) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (16) | (1,733) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 920 | 6 | 2,667 | 1,368 | 21,738 | 222,612 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22.3 | 7.3 | 51.6 | 32.7 | 325.0 | 714.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 41.33 | 0.79 | 51.65 | 41.87 | 66.89 | 311.58 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 41.33 | 0.79 | 51.65 | 41.87 | 66.89 | 311.58 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |