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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 20.2x - 22.3x | 21.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.9x - 19.8x | 18.8x |
| Fair Value | $266.57 - $301.73 | $284.15 |
| Upside | -14.4% - -3.2% | -8.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | CBRL | NasdaqGS:CBRL |
| BAB, Inc. | BABB | OTCPK:BABB |
| The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | CAKE | NasdaqGS:CAKE |
| Papa John's International, Inc. | PZZA | NasdaqGS:PZZA |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc. | QSR | NYSE:QSR |
| McDonald's Corporation | MCD | NYSE:MCD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CBRL | BABB | CAKE | PZZA | QSR | MCD | ||
| NasdaqGS:CBRL | OTCPK:BABB | NasdaqGS:CAKE | NasdaqGS:PZZA | NYSE:QSR | NYSE:MCD | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -23.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 58.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -21.2% | 7.7% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -38.8% | 10.1% | 29.8% | 24.2% | 8.8% | 0.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | 16.2% | 2.2% | 6.9% | 31.8% | 43.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 17.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 30.4% | 46.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.1% | 19.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 27.6% | 45.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.0% | 19.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 27.6% | 45.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.60x | 1.11x | 1.19x | 1.11x | 4.57x | 10.69x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.2x | 5.8x | 14.5x | 8.6x | 14.9x | 19.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.9x | 5.8x | 22.0x | 11.7x | 16.5x | 23.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 16.5x | 29.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 22.7x | 23.4x | 27.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 20.2x | 21.2x | 22.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 11,852 | 11,852 | 11,852 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 238,882 | 251,455 | 264,027 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (48,159) | (48,159) | (48,159) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 190,723 | 203,296 | 215,868 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 714.5 | 714.5 | 714.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 266.95 | 284.54 | 302.14 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 266.95 | 284.54 | 302.14 | 311.58 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.3% | -8.7% | -3.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CBRL | BABB | CAKE | PZZA | QSR | MCD | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,092 | 4 | 4,491 | 2,317 | 37,755 | 270,771 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 10 | 2 | 84 | 38 | 1,335 | 1,119 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 2,710 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,183) | (0) | (1,908) | (971) | (15,926) | (51,988) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (16) | (1,733) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 920 | 6 | 2,667 | 1,368 | 21,738 | 222,612 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22.3 | 7.3 | 51.6 | 32.7 | 325.0 | 714.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 41.33 | 0.79 | 51.65 | 41.87 | 66.89 | 311.58 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 41.33 | 0.79 | 51.65 | 41.87 | 66.89 | 311.58 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |