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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.7x - 1.9x | 1.8x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 1.5x - 2.8x | 1.8x |
Fair Value | $29.57 - $32.68 | $31.12 |
Upside | 12.9% - 24.8% | 18.8% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Delta Air Lines, Inc. | - | NYSE:DAL |
Allegiant Travel Company | - | NasdaqGS:ALGT |
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:SNCY |
Copa Holdings, S.A. | - | NYSE:CPA |
Alaska Air Group, Inc. | - | NYSE:ALK |
Southwest Airlines Co. | - | NYSE:LUV |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
DAL | ALGT | SNCY | CPA | ALK | LUV | |||
NYSE:DAL | NasdaqGS:ALGT | NasdaqGS:SNCY | NYSE:CPA | NYSE:ALK | NYSE:LUV | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -6.2% | NM- | 2.8% | 19.8% | -12.5% | -27.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 131.1% | NM- | -13.3% | 140.3% | -6.2% | -21.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -26.9% | -312.4% | -26.7% | 18.4% | 68.1% | 0.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -10.1% | 0.1% | 5.8% | -10.9% | -3.4% | -3.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | -9.6% | 4.9% | 17.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | -9.6% | 4.9% | 17.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -6.3% | 1.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 52.1% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 28.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 27.5% | -19.9% | 9.8% | 27.1% | 9.3% | 4.5% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 20.7% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 15.4% | 9.2% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 21.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 13.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.5x | 1.0x | 0.5x | 0.6x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 7.2x | -3.4x | 10.3x | 5.9x | 14.2x | 33.4x | ||
Price / Book | 1.7x | 0.8x | 1.0x | 1.5x | 1.3x | 1.5x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 1.4x | 0.7x | 0.8x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.8x | 1.3x | 1.7x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 1.5x | 1.8x | 2.8x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.7x | 1.8x | 1.9x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 10,350 | 10,350 | 10,350 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DAL | ALGT | SNCY | CPA | ALK | LUV | |
Value of Common Equity | 26,516 | 825 | 544 | 3,610 | 5,615 | 15,522 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 648.6 | 17.7 | 52.5 | 41.3 | 122.7 | 592.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 40.88 | 46.51 | 10.35 | 87.43 | 45.76 | 26.19 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 40.88 | 46.51 | 10.35 | 87.43 | 45.76 | 26.19 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |