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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.6x - 4.0x | 3.8x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
Fair Value | $18.98 - $21.49 | $20.23 |
Upside | -22.0% - -11.7% | -16.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. | LGF.B | NYSE:LGF.B |
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. | CNK | NYSE:CNK |
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. | AMC | NYSE:AMC |
The Marcus Corporation | MCS | NYSE:MCS |
Kidoz Inc. | KDOZ.F | OTCPK:KDOZ.F |
IMAX Corporation | IMAX | NYSE:IMAX |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
LGF.B | CNK | AMC | MCS | KDOZ.F | IMAX | |||
NYSE:LGF.B | NYSE:CNK | NYSE:AMC | NYSE:MCS | OTCPK:KDOZ.F | NYSE:IMAX | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 1.8% | -1.5% | -3.3% | -2.4% | 162.5% | -2.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 7.1% | 26.4% | 22.4% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 11.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -2.8% | -0.6% | -3.6% | 0.4% | -10.5% | -6.0% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | -23.9% | -47.9% | -16.6% | -9.0% | -7.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.7% | 12.1% | 0.7% | 4.8% | -8.1% | 15.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 11.9% | -0.2% | 3.1% | -14.3% | 14.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.7% | 11.9% | -0.2% | 3.1% | -9.8% | 14.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.64x | 1.74x | 1.90x | 1.13x | 1.63x | 4.39x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 44.8x | 14.6x | -1010.3x | 37.0x | -16.7x | 30.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.44x | 0.97x | 0.25x | 0.70x | 1.67x | 3.66x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.13x | 1.64x | 1.90x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.70x | 4.39x | 5.90x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.62x | 3.81x | 4.00x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 352 | 352 | 352 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,274 | 1,341 | 1,408 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (255) | (255) | (255) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,019 | 1,086 | 1,153 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 53.0 | 53.0 | 53.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 19.21 | 20.48 | 21.74 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.21 | 20.48 | 21.74 | 24.32 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -21.0% | -15.8% | -10.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | LGF.B | CNK | AMC | MCS | KDOZ.F | IMAX | |
Enterprise Value | 6,282 | 5,294 | 8,719 | 783 | 20 | 1,545 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 201 | 1,062 | 632 | 49 | 0 | 101 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 80 | 60 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (4,900) | (3,456) | (8,277) | (353) | 0 | (278) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (12) | (9) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (79) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,650 | 2,950 | 1,145 | 484 | 20 | 1,290 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 240.6 | 120.0 | 431.9 | 31.7 | 131.3 | 53.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 6.86 | 24.58 | 2.65 | 15.26 | 0.16 | 24.32 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.86 | 24.58 | 2.65 | 15.26 | 0.16 | 24.32 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |