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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 10.2x - 11.3x | 10.8x |
| Fair Value | $37.30 - $41.23 | $39.26 |
| Upside | -24.4% - -16.4% | -20.4% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:METC |
| Coronado Global Resources Inc. | - | OTCPK:CODQ.L |
| South32 Limited | - | OTCPK:SHTL.F |
| Corsa Coal Corp. | - | PINC:CRSX.Q |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | - | NYSE:AMR |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | - | NYSE:HCC |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| METC | CODQ.L | SHTL.F | CRSX.Q | AMR | HCC | |||
| NasdaqGS:METC | OTCPK:CODQ.L | OTCPK:SHTL.F | PINC:CRSX.Q | NYSE:AMR | NYSE:HCC | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -14.8% | NM- | NM- | 48.4% | NM- | -3.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -34.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -13.4% | 18.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -85.9% | -169.8% | 82.1% | -349.5% | -74.0% | -47.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | -12.3% | 6.1% | 18.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | 5.5% | -10.7% | -16.7% | 20.8% | 28.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | -4.4% | -11.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 16.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | -4.4% | -3.8% | -20.5% | 6.3% | 16.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 5.6x | 6.8x | 8.1x | 2.6x | 5.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 0.1x | 1.2x | 0.1x | 0.5x | 1.7x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 44.9x | -2.3x | -32.0x | -0.5x | 8.7x | 10.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -32.0x | -0.5x | 44.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -62.0x | 7.1x | 58.4x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 7.1x | 7.5x | 7.9x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 251 | 251 | 251 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,780 | 1,874 | 1,967 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 52.6 | 52.6 | 52.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.86 | 35.65 | 37.43 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.86 | 35.65 | 37.43 | 49.31 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -31.3% | -27.7% | -24.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | METC | CODQ.L | SHTL.F | CRSX.Q | AMR | HCC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 514 | 478 | 7,975 | 16 | 1,624 | 2,592 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 54.0 | 2,327.9 | 5,112.3 | 103.8 | 13.1 | 52.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.51 | 0.21 | 1.56 | 0.15 | 124.45 | 49.31 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.51 | 0.21 | 1.56 | 0.15 | 124.45 | 49.31 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |