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HCA Holdings Inc
NYSE:HCA
美國 / 保健 / 醫療保健供應和服務
貨幣
$
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綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
342.34
USD
公允價值
344.74
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.3% - 9.3%
9.8%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
3.3% - 4.3%
3.8%
Fair Value
$285.17 - $427.44
$344.74
Upside
-15.5% - 26.7%
2.2%
3.9%
Revenue 10y CAGR
19.5%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
5.0%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
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儲存
股價
342.34
USD
公允價值
344.74
USD
看漲
2.2%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
70,603
74,602
78,501
82,446
89,607
93,936
95,815
97,731
99,686
101,679
103,713
% Growth
8.7%
5.7%
5.2%
5.0%
8.7%
4.8%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
13,859
14,698
15,451
16,344
17,378
18,218
18,582
18,954
19,333
19,720
20,114
% of Revenue
19.6%
19.7%
19.7%
19.8%
19.4%
19.4%
19.4%
19.4%
19.4%
19.4%
19.4%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
14,698
15,451
16,344
17,378
18,218
18,582
18,954
19,333
19,720
20,114
20,114
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(3,512)
(3,660)
(3,913)
(4,475)
(4,691)
(4,785)
(4,881)
(4,978)
(5,078)
(5,179)
(6,048)
EBIT
11,186
11,791
12,431
12,903
13,527
13,798
14,073
14,355
14,642
14,935
14,066
Pro forma Taxes
(2,349)
(2,476)
(2,611)
(2,710)
(2,841)
(2,897)
(2,955)
(3,015)
(3,075)
(3,136)
(2,954)
NOPAT
8,332
8,837
9,315
9,820
10,193
10,686
10,900
11,118
11,340
11,567
11,799
11,112
Capital Expenditures
(4,875)
(5,119)
(5,542)
(5,899)
(6,272)
(6,576)
(6,249)
(6,366)
(6,397)
(6,337)
(6,367)
(6,367)
NWC Investment
(328)
(233)
(227)
(230)
(417)
(252)
(109)
(112)
(114)
(116)
(118)
(227)
(+) D&A
3,312
3,512
3,660
3,913
4,475
4,691
4,785
4,881
4,978
5,078
5,179
6,048
Free Cash Flow
6,441
6,997
7,206
7,605
7,979
8,549
9,327
9,521
9,808
10,192
10,493
10,567
% Growth
9%
3%
6%
5%
7%
9%
2%
3%
4%
3%
1%
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