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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16.5x - 18.3x | 17.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.0x - 14.3x | 13.6x |
| Fair Value | $74.49 - $82.61 | $78.55 |
| Upside | -2.2% - 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Shyft Group, Inc. | SHYF | NasdaqGS:SHYF |
| Miller Industries, Inc. | MLR | NYSE:MLR |
| Twin Disc, Incorporated | TWIN | NasdaqGS:TWIN |
| ESCO Technologies Inc. | ESE | NYSE:ESE |
| Douglas Dynamics, Inc. | PLOW | NYSE:PLOW |
| Federal Signal Corporation | FSS | NYSE:FSS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SHYF | MLR | TWIN | ESE | PLOW | FSS | ||
| NasdaqGS:SHYF | NYSE:MLR | NasdaqGS:TWIN | NYSE:ESE | NYSE:PLOW | NYSE:FSS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -38.7% | 9.7% | -0.8% | 6.6% | -9.6% | 13.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -63.4% | 52.9% | NM- | 21.5% | -3.1% | 29.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.2% | 7.3% | -39.9% | 19.5% | 6.1% | 26.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 15.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 15.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.41x | 0.42x | 3.75x | 1.29x | 2.59x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.7x | 5.2x | 5.6x | 18.7x | 11.2x | 13.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 105.1x | 6.1x | 10.6x | 25.3x | 15.4x | 17.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 15.4x | 105.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 16.1x | 20.7x | 23.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.5x | 17.4x | 18.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 283 | 283 | 283 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,683 | 4,929 | 5,176 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (162) | (162) | (162) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,521 | 4,768 | 5,014 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 61.1 | 61.1 | 61.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 74.00 | 78.04 | 82.07 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 74.00 | 78.04 | 82.07 | 76.16 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -2.8% | 2.5% | 7.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SHYF | MLR | TWIN | ESE | PLOW | FSS | |
| Enterprise Value | 430 | 507 | 132 | 3,962 | 750 | 4,815 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16 | 24 | 16 | 71 | 7 | 91 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (175) | (66) | (50) | (171) | (222) | (253) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 270 | 466 | 97 | 3,863 | 535 | 4,653 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.9 | 11.5 | 14.1 | 25.8 | 23.1 | 61.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.73 | 40.65 | 6.89 | 149.68 | 23.18 | 76.16 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.73 | 40.65 | 6.89 | 149.68 | 23.18 | 76.16 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |