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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
Fair Value | $2.77 - $3.06 | $2.91 |
Upside | 45.0% - 60.2% | 52.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Manhattan Associates, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:MANH |
SPS Commerce, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:SPSC |
ReposiTrak, Inc. | - | NYSE:TRAK |
The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:DSGX |
Oracle Corporation | - | NYSE:ORCL |
E2open Parent Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:ETWO |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MANH | SPSC | TRAK | DSGX | ORCL | ETWO | |||
NasdaqGS:MANH | NasdaqGS:SPSC | NYSE:TRAK | NasdaqGS:DSGX | NYSE:ORCL | NYSE:ETWO | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.0% | 18.0% | -0.7% | 14.8% | 6.0% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 16.2% | 18.3% | -0.9% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 35.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 12.2% | 18.8% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 6.2% | -4.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 17.1% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 22.3% | -97.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 19.0% | 12.3% | 26.2% | 20.2% | 17.0% | -99.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 20.9% | 12.1% | 26.4% | 22.0% | 19.8% | -168.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 20.9% | 12.1% | 27.8% | 22.0% | 21.8% | -74.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 33.8x | 35.5x | 47.8x | 30.3x | 19.7x | 10.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 8.9x | 7.6x | 15.4x | 12.6x | 6.4x | 1.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 42.5x | 63.3x | 55.5x | 57.4x | 29.6x | -1.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 6.4x | 8.9x | 15.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.2x | 2.8x | 3.3x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 613 | 613 | 613 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 880 | 927 | 973 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 309.2 | 309.2 | 309.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2.85 | 3.00 | 3.15 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.85 | 3.00 | 3.15 | 1.91 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 49.1% | 56.9% | 64.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MANH | SPSC | TRAK | DSGX | ORCL | ETWO | |
Value of Common Equity | 9,887 | 4,936 | 341 | 8,618 | 384,825 | 591 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 61.1 | 38.1 | 18.3 | 85.6 | 2,804.2 | 309.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 161.76 | 129.63 | 18.66 | 100.67 | 137.23 | 1.91 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 161.76 | 129.63 | 18.66 | 100.67 | 137.23 | 1.91 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |