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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 4.3x - 4.8x | 4.5x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
Fair Value | $60.97 - $75.67 | $68.32 |
Upside | 8.3% - 34.4% | 21.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
IDACORP, Inc. | IDA | NYSE:IDA |
FirstEnergy Corp. | FE | NYSE:FE |
American Electric Power Company, Inc. | AEP | NasdaqGS:AEP |
Edison International | EIX | NYSE:EIX |
The Southern Company | SO | NYSE:SO |
Eversource Energy | ES | NYSE:ES |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
IDA | FE | AEP | EIX | SO | ES | |||
NYSE:IDA | NYSE:FE | NasdaqGS:AEP | NYSE:EIX | NYSE:SO | NYSE:ES | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.3% | 4.1% | NM- | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 7.8% | 6.7% | NM- | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | -0.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 20.0% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 23.7% | 21.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 21.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.5% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 28.7% | 23.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.5% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 28.7% | 23.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.87x | 3.68x | 5.14x | 3.58x | 6.26x | 4.20x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 27.8x | 20.9x | 22.2x | 16.3x | 21.8x | 17.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.47x | 1.76x | 2.83x | 1.23x | 3.69x | 1.74x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 3.58x | 4.87x | 6.26x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.90x | 4.36x | 5.28x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 4.31x | 4.54x | 4.77x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 11,901 | 11,901 | 11,901 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 51,342 | 54,045 | 56,747 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (28,889) | (28,889) | (28,889) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 22,454 | 25,156 | 27,858 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 367.1 | 367.1 | 367.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 61.17 | 68.53 | 75.89 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 61.17 | 68.53 | 75.89 | 56.32 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 8.6% | 21.7% | 34.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | IDA | FE | AEP | EIX | SO | ES | |
Enterprise Value | 8,892 | 48,458 | 101,338 | 62,931 | 165,816 | 49,563 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 369 | 111 | 418 | 193 | 1,070 | 27 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 160 | 376 | 0 | 57 | 1,416 | 479 | |
(-) Debt | (3,074) | (24,266) | (45,998) | (37,761) | (66,277) | (29,239) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (7) | (1,265) | (42) | (2,175) | (3,466) | (156) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,645) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,341 | 23,414 | 55,716 | 21,600 | 98,559 | 20,674 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 54.0 | 576.7 | 532.5 | 385.0 | 1,096.8 | 367.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 117.38 | 40.60 | 104.63 | 56.10 | 89.86 | 56.32 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 117.38 | 40.60 | 104.63 | 56.10 | 89.86 | 56.32 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |