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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.9x - 19.7x | 18.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.2x - 19.0x | 18.1x |
| Fair Value | $81.47 - $97.96 | $89.71 |
| Upside | -12.3% - 5.5% | -3.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Kroger Co. | KR | NYSE:KR |
| Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. | WBA | NasdaqGS:WBA |
| Target Corporation | TGT | NYSE:TGT |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation | COST | NasdaqGS:COST |
| Walmart Inc. | WMT | NYSE:WMT |
| Dollar General Corporation | DG | NYSE:DG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KR | WBA | TGT | COST | WMT | DG | ||
| NYSE:KR | NasdaqGS:WBA | NYSE:TGT | NasdaqGS:COST | NYSE:WMT | NYSE:DG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.7% | -30.0% | 4.0% | 14.4% | 6.4% | -3.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.8% | -40.1% | -14.1% | 11.0% | 4.1% | -15.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.8% | -154.6% | -2.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | -20.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.3% | 0.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.2% | 0.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.2% | -0.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.25x | 0.55x | 1.67x | 1.25x | 0.91x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.7x | 28.9x | 6.7x | 36.6x | 20.1x | 12.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | -52.8x | 10.2x | 45.3x | 29.1x | 19.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -52.8x | 14.8x | 45.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 16.7x | 18.8x | 21.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.9x | 18.8x | 19.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,941 | 1,941 | 1,941 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 34,662 | 36,487 | 38,311 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (16,531) | (16,531) | (16,531) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 18,131 | 19,956 | 21,780 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 219.9 | 219.9 | 219.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 82.44 | 90.73 | 99.02 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 82.44 | 90.73 | 99.02 | 92.89 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.3% | -2.3% | 6.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KR | WBA | TGT | COST | WMT | DG | |
| Enterprise Value | 68,361 | 38,285 | 58,500 | 441,737 | 846,242 | 36,962 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,959 | 1,134 | 4,762 | 13,158 | 9,037 | 933 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 593 | 1,389 | 0 | 0 | 4,241 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (25,082) | (31,107) | (19,875) | (8,039) | (62,113) | (17,463) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 4 | (146) | 0 | 0 | (6,679) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 47,835 | 9,555 | 43,387 | 446,856 | 790,728 | 20,431 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 660.9 | 864.7 | 454.4 | 443.7 | 8,000.9 | 219.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 72.38 | 11.05 | 95.49 | 1,007.15 | 98.83 | 92.89 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 72.38 | 11.05 | 95.49 | 1,007.15 | 98.83 | 92.89 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |