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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | $10.30 - $11.39 | $10.85 |
| Upside | -8.1% - 1.6% | -3.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | - | NYSE:AJG |
| Brown & Brown, Inc. | - | NYSE:BRO |
| Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | - | NYSE:MMC |
| Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:RYAN |
| The Marketing Alliance, Inc. | - | OTCPK:MAAL |
| Crawford & Company | - | NYSE:CRD.B |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AJG | BRO | MMC | RYAN | MAAL | CRD.B | |||
| NYSE:AJG | NYSE:BRO | NYSE:MMC | NYSE:RYAN | OTCPK:MAAL | NYSE:CRD.B | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 26.5% | -11.1% | 5.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.1% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 19.7% | -13.9% | 5.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 2.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.2% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.4% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.3x | 24.0x | 19.0x | 18.6x | 16.4x | 11.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.9x | 7.4x | 4.8x | 7.6x | 0.5x | 0.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 58.9x | 35.6x | 28.9x | 95.0x | 74.5x | 21.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.5x | 7.4x | 7.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.4x | 0.5x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,293 | 1,293 | 1,293 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 529 | 557 | 585 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 49.4 | 49.4 | 49.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.72 | 11.28 | 11.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.72 | 11.28 | 11.85 | 11.21 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.4% | 0.6% | 5.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AJG | BRO | MMC | RYAN | MAAL | CRD.B | |
| Value of Common Equity | 86,114 | 34,903 | 117,282 | 8,994 | 10 | 553 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 255.7 | 286.6 | 491.1 | 125.7 | 8.1 | 49.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 336.73 | 121.77 | 238.80 | 71.54 | 1.25 | 11.21 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 336.73 | 121.77 | 238.80 | 71.54 | 1.25 | 11.21 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |