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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | $10.54 - $11.65 | $11.10 |
| Upside | -1.8% - 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Brown & Brown, Inc. | - | NYSE:BRO |
| Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | - | NYSE:MMC |
| Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | - | NYSE:AJG |
| Erie Indemnity Company | - | NasdaqGS:ERIE |
| Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:RYAN |
| Crawford & Company | - | NYSE:CRD.B |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| BRO | MMC | AJG | ERIE | RYAN | CRD.B | |||
| NYSE:BRO | NYSE:MMC | NYSE:AJG | NasdaqGS:ERIE | NYSE:RYAN | NYSE:CRD.B | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 26.5% | 5.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 15.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 5.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 4.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.7% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.4% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 21.0% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.0x | 17.9x | 22.4x | 22.9x | 18.5x | 10.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.5x | 4.5x | 7.7x | 4.9x | 3.4x | 0.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 31.1x | 27.7x | 55.6x | 31.3x | 173.4x | 17.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 3.4x | 4.9x | 7.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.4x | 0.5x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,303 | 1,303 | 1,303 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 548 | 577 | 606 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 11.09 | 11.67 | 12.25 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.09 | 11.67 | 12.25 | 10.73 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.3% | 8.8% | 14.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BRO | MMC | AJG | ERIE | RYAN | CRD.B | |
| Value of Common Equity | 31,687 | 111,967 | 86,634 | 19,246 | 8,849 | 531 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 286.6 | 492.7 | 256.1 | 52.3 | 126.6 | 49.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 110.56 | 227.24 | 338.28 | 368.06 | 69.87 | 10.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 110.56 | 227.24 | 338.28 | 368.06 | 69.87 | 10.73 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |