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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 12.6x - 13.9x | 13.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 9.9x - 10.9x | 10.4x |
Fair Value | $44.98 - $49.71 | $47.34 |
Upside | -6.4% - 3.4% | -1.5% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Employers Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:EIG |
First American Financial Corporation | - | NYSE:FAF |
Fidelity National Financial, Inc. | - | NYSE:FNF |
Old Republic International Corporation | - | NYSE:ORI |
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:SIGI |
CNA Financial Corporation | - | NYSE:CNA |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
EIG | FAF | FNF | ORI | SIGI | CNA | |||
NYSE:EIG | NYSE:FAF | NYSE:FNF | NYSE:ORI | NasdaqGS:SIGI | NYSE:CNA | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -5.5% | -28.6% | 3.6% | -4.2% | -6.1% | -0.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | -0.2% | -52.7% | -23.1% | -17.8% | -20.6% | -6.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -16.0% | -27.1% | 145.6% | 9.2% | -34.9% | -20.4% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.5% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 12.0% | 2.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 12.0x | 7.4x | 9.7x | 16.6x | 11.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.4x | 1.0x | 1.3x | 1.1x | 1.1x | 0.9x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 11.3x | 39.7x | 13.9x | 11.9x | 24.0x | 13.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 11.3x | 13.9x | 39.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 9.0x | 13.6x | 18.4x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 12.6x | 13.2x | 13.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 959 | 959 | 959 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 12,067 | 12,702 | 13,337 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 270.2 | 270.2 | 270.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 44.67 | 47.02 | 49.37 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 44.67 | 47.02 | 49.37 | 48.07 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -7.1% | -2.2% | 2.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EIG | FAF | FNF | ORI | SIGI | CNA | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,158 | 6,331 | 17,753 | 9,282 | 5,394 | 12,987 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 24.0 | 102.9 | 275.0 | 243.8 | 60.8 | 270.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 48.15 | 61.53 | 64.56 | 38.07 | 88.76 | 48.07 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 48.15 | 61.53 | 64.56 | 38.07 | 88.76 | 48.07 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |