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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | $20.14 - $24.78 | $22.46 |
| Upside | 13.7% - 39.9% | 26.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Tractor Supply Company | TSCO | NasdaqGS:TSCO |
| Shoe Carnival, Inc. | SCVL | NasdaqGS:SCVL |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | DKS | NYSE:DKS |
| Foot Locker, Inc. | FL | NYSE:FL |
| Best Buy Co., Inc. | BBY | NYSE:BBY |
| Caleres, Inc. | CAL | NYSE:CAL |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| TSCO | SCVL | DKS | FL | BBY | CAL | |||
| NasdaqGS:TSCO | NasdaqGS:SCVL | NYSE:DKS | NYSE:FL | NYSE:BBY | NYSE:CAL | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.2% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% | -1.0% | -1.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 5.3% | -3.3% | 3.0% | -3.8% | -7.1% | -0.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | -2.2% | -4.4% | -3.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.32x | 0.71x | 1.43x | 0.45x | 0.43x | 0.51x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.5x | 9.3x | 13.1x | 18.7x | 10.4x | 8.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.97x | 0.50x | 1.23x | 0.17x | 0.38x | 0.22x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.43x | 0.71x | 2.32x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.64x | 0.74x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.58x | 0.61x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 2,723 | 2,723 | 2,723 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,503 | 1,583 | 1,662 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (804) | (804) | (804) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 700 | 779 | 858 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 33.6 | 33.6 | 33.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.81 | 23.16 | 25.51 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.81 | 23.16 | 25.51 | 17.71 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 17.5% | 30.8% | 44.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TSCO | SCVL | DKS | FL | BBY | CAL | |
| Enterprise Value | 34,477 | 852 | 19,281 | 3,607 | 18,019 | 1,399 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 251 | 123 | 1,690 | 401 | 1,768 | 30 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,424) | (368) | (4,488) | (2,784) | (4,067) | (827) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 29,304 | 607 | 16,483 | 1,345 | 15,720 | 596 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 531.5 | 27.2 | 79.9 | 95.0 | 211.4 | 33.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 55.13 | 22.33 | 206.41 | 14.16 | 74.37 | 17.71 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.13 | 22.33 | 206.41 | 14.16 | 74.37 | 17.71 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |