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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.3x - 21.3x | 20.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 19.2x - 21.3x | 20.3x |
| Fair Value | ₹901.51 - ₹994.82 | ₹948.17 |
| Upside | -12.5% - -3.4% | -7.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Allcargo Gati Limited | ACLGATI | NSEI:ACLGATI |
| Allcargo Logistics Limited | ALLCARGO | NSEI:ALLCARGO |
| Mahindra Logistics Limited | MAHLOG | NSEI:MAHLOG |
| ABC India Limited | 520123 | BSE:520123 |
| Blue Dart Express Limited | BLUEDART | NSEI:BLUEDART |
| Transport Corporation of India Limited | TCI | NSEI:TCI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ACLGATI | ALLCARGO | MAHLOG | 520123 | BLUEDART | TCI | ||
| NSEI:ACLGATI | NSEI:ALLCARGO | NSEI:MAHLOG | BSE:520123 | NSEI:BLUEDART | NSEI:TCI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -21.1% | -7.5% | -9.2% | 21.2% | 9.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -35.1% | 10.6% | 0.8% | 16.6% | 17.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 89.9% | -24.5% | 157.0% | -6.9% | -4.5% | 14.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 0.29x | 0.49x | 0.30x | 2.85x | 1.76x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 89.1x | 16.4x | 10.5x | 10.8x | 25.9x | 16.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -448.0x | 43.1x | 51.6x | 12.5x | 38.3x | 22.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -448.0x | 38.3x | 51.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.6x | 14.7x | 20.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.3x | 20.3x | 21.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 3,429 | 3,429 | 3,429 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 66,045 | 69,522 | 72,998 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,153 | 1,153 | 1,153 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 67,198 | 70,675 | 74,151 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.6 | 76.6 | 76.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 877.16 | 922.54 | 967.91 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 877.16 | 922.54 | 967.91 | 1,029.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.8% | -10.4% | -6.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ACLGATI | ALLCARGO | MAHLOG | 520123 | BLUEDART | TCI | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,456 | 41,759 | 29,090 | 502 | 163,717 | 77,739 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,865 | 8,102 | 966 | 169 | 4,518 | 3,370 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,421) | (21,941) | (8,688) | (187) | (10,966) | (2,217) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (164) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,900 | 27,921 | 21,225 | 484 | 157,269 | 78,892 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 147.1 | 982.8 | 72.1 | 5.4 | 23.7 | 76.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 60.52 | 28.41 | 294.25 | 89.28 | 6,628.00 | 1,029.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 60.52 | 28.41 | 294.25 | 89.28 | 6,628.00 | 1,029.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |