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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 14.0x - 15.5x | 14.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.4x - 14.8x | 14.1x |
| Fair Value | ₹104.34 - ₹118.02 | ₹111.18 |
| Upside | -15.8% - -4.8% | -10.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Kalyani Steels Limited | KSL | NSEI:KSL |
| Ramkrishna Forgings Limited | RKFORGE | NSEI:RKFORGE |
| National Aluminium Company Limited | NATIONALUM | NSEI:NATIONALUM |
| Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys Limited | IMFA | NSEI:IMFA |
| Sarthak Metals Limited | SMLT | NSEI:SMLT |
| South West Pinnacle Exploration Limited | SOUTHWEST | NSEI:SOUTHWEST |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KSL | RKFORGE | NATIONALUM | IMFA | SMLT | SOUTHWEST | ||
| NSEI:KSL | NSEI:RKFORGE | NSEI:NATIONALUM | NSEI:IMFA | NSEI:SMLT | NSEI:SOUTHWEST | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.6% | 16.8% | -0.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 8.2% | 55.1% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.6% | 16.0% | 133.1% | -6.2% | -67.6% | 12.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.3% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 7.4% | 19.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 17.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.8% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 6.5% | 19.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.8% | 21.6% | 38.9% | 21.8% | 4.0% | 17.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.50x | 2.83x | 1.62x | 0.95x | 0.61x | 2.67x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 13.1x | 4.2x | 4.4x | 15.1x | 15.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.2x | 19.0x | 4.9x | 4.8x | 21.5x | 25.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 8.2x | 15.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.6x | 16.3x | 27.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.0x | 14.7x | 15.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 258 | 258 | 258 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,607 | 3,797 | 3,987 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (715) | (715) | (715) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,891 | 3,081 | 3,271 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 27.9 | 27.9 | 27.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 103.63 | 110.43 | 117.23 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 103.63 | 110.43 | 117.23 | 123.98 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.4% | -10.9% | -5.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KSL | RKFORGE | NATIONALUM | IMFA | SMLT | SOUTHWEST | |
| Enterprise Value | 29,372 | 119,948 | 250,968 | 26,181 | 1,215 | 4,175 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,481 | 812 | 40,643 | 8,136 | 391 | 124 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,376) | (14,811) | (908) | (2,964) | 0 | (839) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 32,502 | 105,948 | 290,702 | 31,353 | 1,606 | 3,459 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 43.8 | 181.0 | 1,836.6 | 54.0 | 13.7 | 27.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 742.75 | 585.25 | 158.28 | 581.10 | 117.28 | 123.98 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 742.75 | 585.25 | 158.28 | 581.10 | 117.28 | 123.98 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |