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MACOBSTECH 11.6%541338 -9.4%543941 -5.0%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

Fsn E-Commerce Ventures Ltd

NSEI:NYKAA

印度 / 非必需消費品 / 特色產品零售

10 年 DCF 增長退出價

股價

178.10 INR

公允價值

166.71 INR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	8.5% - 7.5%	8.0%
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.5% - 1.5%	1.0%
Fair Value	₹144.32 - ₹196.60	₹166.71
Upside	-17.3% - 12.6%	-4.5%

21.8%

Revenue 10y CAGR

11.3%

10y Avg EBITDA Margin

NM

Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR

10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit

股價

178.10 INR

公允價值

166.71 INR

看漲

-4.5%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(INR in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29	Mar-30	Mar-31	Mar-32	Mar-33	Mar-34

Revenue	63,856	79,781	100,173	125,095	156,000	191,000	229,936	276,116	329,111	389,190	459,181
% Growth	24.1%	24.9%	25.6%	24.9%	24.7%	22.4%	20.4%	20.1%	19.2%	18.3%	18.0%

EBITDA	2,004	4,725	7,631	10,955	16,622	23,668	27,284	34,974	44,553	56,535	71,402
% of Revenue	3.1%	5.9%	7.6%	8.8%	10.7%	12.4%	11.9%	12.7%	13.5%	14.5%	15.5%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(INR in millions)		Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29	Mar-30	Mar-31	Mar-32	Mar-33	Mar-34	Terminal

EBITDA		4,725	7,631	10,955	16,622	23,668	27,284	34,974	44,553	56,535	71,402	71,402
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(2,637)	(3,049)	(3,710)	(4,122)	(6,968)	(8,388)	(10,072)	(12,006)	(14,197)	(16,750)	(3,388)

EBIT		2,088	4,582	7,245	12,500	16,700	18,896	24,902	32,547	42,338	54,652	68,014
Pro forma Taxes		(501)	(1,100)	(1,739)	(3,000)	(4,008)	(4,535)	(5,976)	(7,811)	(10,161)	(13,116)	(16,323)
NOPAT	927	1,587	3,482	5,507	9,500	12,692	14,361	18,925	24,736	32,177	41,535	51,691

Capital Expenditures	(1,107)	(1,322)	(1,609)	(1,702)	(3,516)	(4,171)	(3,130)	(3,606)	(3,635)	(3,457)	(3,566)	(3,566)
NWC Investment	(834)	(1,069)	(1,369)	(1,673)	(2,075)	(2,350)	(2,614)	(3,100)	(3,558)	(4,033)	(4,699)	(308)
(+) D&A	785	2,637	3,049	3,710	4,122	6,968	8,388	10,072	12,006	14,197	16,750	3,388

Free Cash Flow	(229)	1,833	3,553	5,841	8,031	13,139	17,005	22,292	29,549	38,884	50,021	51,204
% Growth		NM	94%	64%	37%	64%	29%	31%	33%	32%	29%	2%

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