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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 23.6x - 26.1x | 24.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.2x - 14.6x | 13.9x |
| Fair Value | ₹56.68 - ₹64.12 | ₹60.40 |
| Upside | -40.7% - -32.9% | -36.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Allcargo Logistics Limited | ALLCARGO | NSEI:ALLCARGO |
| Starlog Enterprises Limited | 520155 | BSE:520155 |
| JITF Infralogistics Limited | JITFINFRA | NSEI:JITFINFRA |
| Markolines Pavement Technologies Limited | 543364 | BSE:543364 |
| Allcargo Terminals Limited | ATL | NSEI:ATL |
| Navkar Corporation Limited | NAVKARCORP | NSEI:NAVKARCORP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALLCARGO | 520155 | JITFINFRA | 543364 | ATL | NAVKARCORP | ||
| NSEI:ALLCARGO | BSE:520155 | NSEI:JITFINFRA | BSE:543364 | NSEI:ATL | NSEI:NAVKARCORP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -11.2% | NM- | 48.8% | 29.4% | NM- | -16.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -23.3% | NM- | 75.5% | 34.9% | NM- | -21.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.9% | 36.1% | -4.1% | 15.0% | -6.2% | -16.8% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.9% | -4.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 19.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 5.6% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 21.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.8% | -41.8% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | -31.9% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 9.51x | 1.40x | 1.29x | 1.21x | 2.95x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.2x | -29.8x | 8.8x | 12.6x | 10.2x | 34.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 42.7x | -26.4x | 11.4x | 15.5x | 12.7x | -2182.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -29.8x | 10.2x | 16.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.3x | 6.4x | 29.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.6x | 24.9x | 26.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 429 | 429 | 429 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,143 | 10,677 | 11,211 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,095) | (2,095) | (2,095) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,048 | 8,582 | 9,116 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 150.5 | 150.5 | 150.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 53.47 | 57.02 | 60.56 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 53.47 | 57.02 | 60.56 | 95.52 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -44.0% | -40.3% | -36.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALLCARGO | 520155 | JITFINFRA | 543364 | ATL | NAVKARCORP | |
| Enterprise Value | 41,936 | 1,305 | 40,542 | 4,186 | 9,023 | 16,473 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,102 | 11 | 3,331 | 3 | 1,045 | 21 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (21,941) | (73) | (34,828) | (558) | (4,019) | (2,116) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 28,098 | 1,243 | 9,045 | 3,785 | 6,049 | 14,378 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 982.8 | 15.0 | 25.7 | 22.0 | 245.7 | 150.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28.59 | 83.08 | 351.90 | 172.00 | 24.62 | 95.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 28.59 | 83.08 | 351.90 | 172.00 | 24.62 | 95.52 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |