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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 23.1x - 25.5x | 24.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15.5x - 17.1x | 16.3x |
| Fair Value | ₹244.42 - ₹272.34 | ₹258.38 |
| Upside | -20.4% - -11.3% | -15.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Supreme Engineering Limited | SUPREMEENG | NSEI:SUPREMEENG |
| Kalyani Steels Limited | KSL | NSEI:KSL |
| Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys Limited | IMFA | NSEI:IMFA |
| Goa Carbon Limited | GOACARBON | NSEI:GOACARBON |
| National Aluminium Company Limited | NATIONALUM | NSEI:NATIONALUM |
| Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited | MIDHANI | NSEI:MIDHANI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SUPREMEENG | KSL | IMFA | GOACARBON | NATIONALUM | MIDHANI | ||
| NSEI:SUPREMEENG | NSEI:KSL | NSEI:IMFA | NSEI:GOACARBON | NSEI:NATIONALUM | NSEI:MIDHANI | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 15.6% | 13.9% | 191.0% | -0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 8.2% | 22.4% | 166.3% | 16.9% | -8.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 94.6% | 0.6% | -6.2% | -100.2% | 133.1% | -7.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -221.7% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 6.0% | 21.6% | 26.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -579.0% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 29.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -22.3% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 17.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -33.2% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 38.9% | 19.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.93x | 1.48x | 0.97x | 0.94x | 1.66x | 5.75x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -26.9x | 7.9x | 4.5x | -2413.6x | 4.3x | 30.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -22.6x | 9.5x | 4.9x | -179.5x | 5.0x | 39.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -2413.6x | 4.3x | 7.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 14.0x | 36.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.1x | 24.3x | 25.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,032 | 2,032 | 2,032 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 46,958 | 49,430 | 51,901 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,896) | (3,896) | (3,896) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 43,062 | 45,534 | 48,005 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 187.3 | 187.3 | 187.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 229.86 | 243.05 | 256.25 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 229.86 | 243.05 | 256.25 | 306.90 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.1% | -20.8% | -16.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUPREMEENG | KSL | IMFA | GOACARBON | NATIONALUM | MIDHANI | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,461 | 28,470 | 26,248 | 5,124 | 243,327 | 61,390 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 24 | 7,481 | 8,136 | 1,481 | 40,643 | 504 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,025) | (4,376) | (2,964) | (2,637) | (908) | (4,400) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 460 | 31,601 | 31,420 | 3,968 | 283,062 | 57,495 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 250.0 | 43.8 | 54.0 | 9.2 | 1,836.6 | 187.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.84 | 722.15 | 582.35 | 433.65 | 154.12 | 306.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.84 | 722.15 | 582.35 | 433.65 | 154.12 | 306.90 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |