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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21.8x - 24.1x | 23.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.1x - 10.1x | 9.6x |
| Fair Value | ₹406.09 - ₹434.39 | ₹420.24 |
| Upside | -15.4% - -9.5% | -12.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| HEG Limited | 509631 | BSE:509631 |
| GrafTech International Ltd. | EAF | NYSE:EAF |
| Sanergy Group Limited | 2459 | SEHK:2459 |
| Titan Intech Limited | 521005 | BSE:521005 |
| Finolex Cables Limited | 500144 | BSE:500144 |
| Graphite India Limited | GRAPHITE | NSEI:GRAPHITE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 509631 | EAF | 2459 | 521005 | 500144 | GRAPHITE | ||
| BSE:509631 | NYSE:EAF | SEHK:2459 | BSE:521005 | BSE:500144 | NSEI:GRAPHITE | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -39.4% | NM- | NM- | 83.6% | 4.1% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 249.2% | 15.4% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -31.8% | -270.6% | -216.3% | 77.2% | -7.2% | 382.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.2% | 34.8% | -5.5% | 14544.5% | 12.1% | 2.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.1% | 1.6% | -13.5% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.0% | -3.1% | -54.3% | 22.7% | 11.7% | -4.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | -3.1% | -54.3% | 33.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.28x | 1.88x | 0.77x | 1.26x | 2.09x | 2.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.8x | -60.5x | -1.4x | 3.8x | 20.3x | 31.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 147.2x | -12.8x | -1.2x | 6.8x | 22.0x | 56.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -60.5x | 3.8x | 31.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -125.3x | 1.0x | 13.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | 23.0x | 24.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,159 | 2,159 | 2,159 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 47,159 | 49,641 | 52,123 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 26,810 | 26,810 | 26,810 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 73,969 | 76,451 | 78,933 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 195.4 | 195.4 | 195.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 378.60 | 391.30 | 404.01 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 378.60 | 391.30 | 404.01 | 479.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.1% | -18.4% | -15.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 509631 | EAF | 2459 | 521005 | 500144 | GRAPHITE | |
| Enterprise Value | 92,573 | 1,011 | 43 | 438 | 107,073 | 66,931 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,611 | 256 | 11 | 4 | 27,546 | 29,210 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,645) | (1,093) | (31) | (26) | (186) | (2,400) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 91,539 | 173 | 29 | 416 | 134,434 | 93,741 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 193.0 | 257.3 | 1,140.0 | 30.5 | 152.9 | 195.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 474.35 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 13.65 | 879.00 | 479.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 474.35 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 13.65 | 879.00 | 479.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | USD | HKD | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |