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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 51.4x - 56.8x | 54.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.5x - 6.1x | 5.8x |
| Fair Value | ₹998.24 - ₹1,115 | ₹1,057 |
| Upside | -4.8% - 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jagatjit Industries Limited | 507155 | BSE:507155 |
| Tilaknagar Industries Ltd. | TI | NSEI:TI |
| Radico Khaitan Limited | RADICO | NSEI:RADICO |
| Allied Blenders and Distillers Limited | ABDL | NSEI:ABDL |
| United Spirits Limited | UNITDSPR | NSEI:UNITDSPR |
| Globus Spirits Limited | GLOBUSSPR | NSEI:GLOBUSSPR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 507155 | TI | RADICO | ABDL | UNITDSPR | GLOBUSSPR | ||
| BSE:507155 | NSEI:TI | NSEI:RADICO | NSEI:ABDL | NSEI:UNITDSPR | NSEI:GLOBUSSPR | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 47.7% | 4.6% | -4.4% | 8.0% | 14.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 2.2% | 75.4% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 31.2% | -21.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -92.5% | 23.3% | 35.4% | NM | 12.7% | -68.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 15.3% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.3% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.27x | 3.98x | 7.28x | 2.73x | 9.24x | 1.36x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 105.5x | 23.5x | 55.0x | 26.4x | 55.6x | 28.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 648.4x | 27.1x | 70.2x | 31.4x | 59.4x | 67.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 27.1x | 59.4x | 648.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.0x | 11.9x | 15.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 51.4x | 54.1x | 56.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 499 | 499 | 499 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 25,613 | 26,961 | 28,309 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,319) | (3,319) | (3,319) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 22,294 | 23,642 | 24,990 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.8 | 28.8 | 28.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 773.48 | 820.25 | 867.02 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 773.48 | 820.25 | 867.02 | 1,048.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -26.2% | -21.8% | -17.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 507155 | TI | RADICO | ABDL | UNITDSPR | GLOBUSSPR | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,802 | 55,295 | 336,915 | 92,085 | 1,094,656 | 33,545 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 120 | 1,148 | 708 | 1,058 | 20,980 | 839 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,726) | (944) | (9,032) | (7,205) | (5,180) | (4,158) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,197 | 55,499 | 328,591 | 85,938 | 1,110,456 | 30,226 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 44.3 | 193.6 | 133.8 | 279.7 | 710.1 | 28.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 185.10 | 286.62 | 2,455.70 | 307.25 | 1,563.90 | 1,048.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 185.10 | 286.62 | 2,455.70 | 307.25 | 1,563.90 | 1,048.70 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |