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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.7x - 10.8x | 10.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15.9x - 17.6x | 16.7x |
| Fair Value | ₹36.82 - ₹46.81 | ₹41.81 |
| Upside | 33.1% - 69.2% | 51.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited | VTL | NSEI:VTL |
| Ambika Cotton Mills Limited | AMBIKCO | NSEI:AMBIKCO |
| Nahar Spinning Mills Limited | NAHARSPING | NSEI:NAHARSPING |
| RSWM Limited | RSWM | NSEI:RSWM |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited | KPRMILL | NSEI:KPRMILL |
| Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Ltd | BASML | NSEI:BASML |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VTL | AMBIKCO | NAHARSPING | RSWM | KPRMILL | BASML | ||
| NSEI:VTL | NSEI:AMBIKCO | NSEI:NAHARSPING | NSEI:RSWM | NSEI:KPRMILL | NSEI:BASML | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.9% | -2.5% | 23.9% | 2.5% | 14.2% | -7.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -17.0% | -28.8% | -39.4% | -21.6% | 0.4% | -27.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.0% | -30.0% | 21.1% | 87.5% | 1.2% | 288.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.2% | 19.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 22.2% | 6.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.9% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 20.9% | 3.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.5% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 19.8% | 7.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.4% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 19.3% | 9.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.38x | 1.07x | 0.57x | 0.52x | 5.77x | 0.77x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.1x | 8.8x | 11.3x | 10.4x | 29.9x | 8.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.5x | 9.8x | 27.4x | 32.7x | 36.0x | 11.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 11.1x | 29.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 14.4x | 16.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 10.3x | 10.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 817 | 817 | 817 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,962 | 8,381 | 8,800 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,640) | (4,640) | (4,640) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,321 | 3,740 | 4,159 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 79.9 | 79.9 | 79.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 41.56 | 46.80 | 52.04 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 41.56 | 46.80 | 52.04 | 27.66 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 50.2% | 69.2% | 88.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VTL | AMBIKCO | NAHARSPING | RSWM | KPRMILL | BASML | |
| Enterprise Value | 132,888 | 7,150 | 18,477 | 24,679 | 381,171 | 6,851 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,515 | 2,070 | 332 | 109 | 5,791 | 32 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (12,387) | (507) | (11,009) | (17,164) | (4,660) | (4,673) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 126,016 | 8,713 | 7,799 | 7,625 | 382,302 | 2,211 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 289.2 | 5.7 | 36.1 | 47.1 | 341.8 | 79.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 435.70 | 1,521.90 | 216.26 | 161.88 | 1,118.45 | 27.66 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 435.70 | 1,521.90 | 216.26 | 161.88 | 1,118.45 | 27.66 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |