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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 19.5x - 21.6x | 20.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14.0x - 15.5x | 14.8x |
| Fair Value | ₹4,109 - ₹4,533 | ₹4,321 |
| Upside | -8.4% - 1.1% | -3.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Tata Chemicals Limited | TATACHEM | NSEI:TATACHEM |
| Rallis India Limited | RALLIS | NSEI:RALLIS |
| Aimco Pesticides Limited | 524288 | BSE:524288 |
| Heranba Industries Limited | HERANBA | NSEI:HERANBA |
| UPL Limited | UPL | NSEI:UPL |
| BASF India Limited | BASF | NSEI:BASF |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TATACHEM | RALLIS | 524288 | HERANBA | UPL | BASF | ||
| NSEI:TATACHEM | NSEI:RALLIS | BSE:524288 | NSEI:HERANBA | NSEI:UPL | NSEI:BASF | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.0% | 3.7% | NM- | -9.0% | 0.4% | 34.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 26.0% | -1.9% | NM- | -28.1% | -18.7% | 10.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.6% | 13.7% | 73.2% | 19.6% | 3.4% | 15.8% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.2% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 6.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 23.3% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 5.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 19.0% | 11.3% | -3.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.1% | 11.4% | -0.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 6.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.85x | 1.53x | 0.58x | 0.86x | 2.00x | 1.24x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.1x | 13.4x | -61.9x | 10.6x | 16.6x | 20.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 25.9x | 20.3x | -17.0x | 14.0x | 22.7x | 24.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -61.9x | 13.1x | 16.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.1x | 17.5x | 25.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.5x | 20.6x | 21.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 9,278 | 9,278 | 9,278 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 181,374 | 190,920 | 200,466 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3,372 | 3,372 | 3,372 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 184,746 | 194,292 | 203,838 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 43.3 | 43.3 | 43.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4,268.06 | 4,488.60 | 4,709.13 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4,268.06 | 4,488.60 | 4,709.13 | 4,486.05 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.9% | 0.1% | 5.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TATACHEM | RALLIS | 524288 | HERANBA | UPL | BASF | |
| Enterprise Value | 265,251 | 40,792 | 1,054 | 11,336 | 828,506 | 190,810 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,560 | 2,290 | 9 | 385 | 43,130 | 5,143 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (64,790) | (680) | (224) | (2,369) | (332,170) | (1,771) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 212,021 | 42,402 | 840 | 9,353 | 539,466 | 194,182 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 254.8 | 194.5 | 9.6 | 40.0 | 844.4 | 43.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 832.25 | 218.04 | 87.62 | 233.74 | 638.85 | 4,486.05 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 832.25 | 218.04 | 87.62 | 233.74 | 638.85 | 4,486.05 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |