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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd

NSEI:ABFRL

印度 / 非必需消費品 / 特色產品零售

綜觀

5 年 DCF 收入退出價

股價

264.15 INR

公允價值

243.21 INR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	8.8% - 7.8%	8.3%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	1.6x - 1.8x	1.7x
Fair Value	₹225.44 - ₹261.56	₹243.21
Upside	-14.7% - -1.0%	-7.9%

10.7%

Revenue 5y CAGR

14.8%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

股價

264.15 INR

公允價值

243.21 INR

看漲

-7.9%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(INR in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29

Revenue	139,959	132,861	144,392	158,353	176,928	232,780
% Growth	12.7%	-5.1%	8.7%	9.7%	11.7%	31.6%

EBITDA	2,669	18,032	21,814	24,941	28,537	31,140
% of Revenue	1.9%	13.6%	15.1%	15.7%	16.1%	13.4%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(INR in millions)		Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29

EBITDA		18,032	21,814	24,941	28,537	31,140
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(16,138)	(16,772)	(18,122)	(12,561)	(12,640)

EBIT		1,894	5,043	6,819	15,976	18,500
Pro forma Taxes		(322)	(857)	(1,159)	(2,716)	(3,145)
NOPAT	(1,574)	1,572	4,185	5,660	13,260	15,355

Capital Expenditures	(7,470)	(4,171)	(5,199)	(5,830)	(3,445)	(3,784)
NWC Investment	(380)	171	(278)	(336)	(447)	(1,344)
(+) D&A	4,566	16,138	16,772	18,122	12,561	12,640

Free Cash Flow	(4,858)	13,710	15,481	17,616	21,929	22,867
% Growth		NM	13%	14%	24%	4%

載入錯誤

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd

NSEI:ABFRL

印度 / 非必需消費品 / 特色產品零售

5 年 DCF 收入退出價