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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -2.9x - -3.2x | -3.1x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
Fair Value | kr2.92 - kr3.20 | kr3.06 |
Upside | 32.8% - 45.6% | 39.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
AIK Fotboll AB (publ) | AIK B | NGM:AIKB |
edyoutec AB | EDYOU | NGM:EDYOU |
Safe Lane Gaming AB (publ) | SLG B | NGM:SLGB |
Modern Times Group MTG AB | MTG B | OM:MTGB |
Stillfront Group AB (publ) | SF | OM:SF |
Jumpgate AB | GATE | NGM:GATE |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AIK B | EDYOU | SLG B | MTG B | SF | GATE | ||
NGM:AIKB | NGM:EDYOU | NGM:SLGB | OM:MTGB | OM:SF | NGM:GATE | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 21.1% | NM- | NM- | 91.7% | 22.7% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 1.8% | NM- | NM- | 14.2% | -2.4% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2150.5% | 94.2% | -21.4% | 3.0% | -2.7% | 63.9% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.9% | -28.5% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 23.8% | -50.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -0.4% | -21.7% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 19.7% | -49.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.5% | -1.7% | -13.0% | 24.5% | 20.1% | -15.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.5% | -1.7% | -30.0% | 24.5% | 20.1% | -15.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.06x | 2.01x | 2.31x | 1.46x | 0.86x | 0.35x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.8x | -116.2x | -7.7x | 5.9x | 4.3x | -2.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 4.7x | -4.4x | -1.1x | 9.7x | 8.7x | -2.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -116.2x | 0.8x | 5.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.8x | -2.7x | -2.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.9x | -3.1x | -3.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | (11) | (11) | (11) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31 | 32 | 34 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 34 | 35 | 37 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.88 | 3.02 | 3.16 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/SEK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.88 | 3.02 | 3.16 | 2.20 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 31.0% | 37.3% | 43.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AIK B | EDYOU | SLG B | MTG B | SF | GATE | |
Enterprise Value | 17 | 52 | 58 | 8,759 | 6,216 | 23 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 31 | 1 | 1 | 3,543 | 957 | 3 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,289 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (14) | (1) | (45) | (753) | (4,893) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 36 | 52 | 15 | 12,838 | 2,280 | 26 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 21.8 | 58.6 | 8.3 | 117.7 | 502.3 | 11.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.66 | 0.88 | 1.79 | 109.10 | 4.54 | 2.20 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.66 | 0.88 | 1.79 | 109.10 | 4.54 | 2.20 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |