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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6.3x - 6.9x | 6.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.8x - 5.3x | 5.1x |
| Fair Value | $7.48 - $8.53 | $8.01 |
| Upside | -5.9% - 7.3% | 0.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Shyft Group, Inc. | SHYF | NasdaqGS:SHYF |
| Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | ALSN | NYSE:ALSN |
| Caterpillar Inc. | CAT | NYSE:CAT |
| Federal Signal Corporation | FSS | NYSE:FSS |
| Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. | CVGI | NasdaqGS:CVGI |
| Twin Disc, Incorporated | TWIN | NasdaqGS:TWIN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SHYF | ALSN | CAT | FSS | CVGI | TWIN | ||
| NasdaqGS:SHYF | NYSE:ALSN | NYSE:CAT | NYSE:FSS | NasdaqGS:CVGI | NasdaqGS:TWIN | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -16.2% | 1.2% | 7.9% | 12.9% | -13.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -36.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 24.6% | -27.2% | 63.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 5.1% | -1.0% | 22.3% | -54.7% | -22.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 34.9% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 35.6% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.1% | 35.2% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 3.6% | 8.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.1% | 35.2% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 3.05x | 2.94x | 2.55x | 0.25x | 0.46x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.5x | 8.7x | 12.2x | 13.6x | 6.8x | 6.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 109.9x | 9.7x | 14.0x | 16.8x | 20.0x | 11.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 12.2x | 18.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -64.1x | 9.5x | 14.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 6.6x | 6.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 24 | 24 | 24 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 152 | 160 | 168 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (35) | (35) | (35) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 117 | 125 | 133 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.1 | 14.1 | 14.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.29 | 8.86 | 9.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.29 | 8.86 | 9.42 | 7.95 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 4.3% | 11.4% | 18.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SHYF | ALSN | CAT | FSS | CVGI | TWIN | |
| Enterprise Value | 451 | 9,831 | 190,418 | 4,755 | 179 | 147 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16 | 786 | 6,165 | 91 | 27 | 16 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (175) | (2,420) | (39,011) | (253) | (166) | (50) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (3) | 0 | 0 | (1) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 292 | 8,215 | 157,569 | 4,593 | 40 | 112 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.9 | 85.5 | 477.9 | 61.1 | 32.4 | 14.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.35 | 96.06 | 329.69 | 75.18 | 1.25 | 7.95 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.35 | 96.06 | 329.69 | 75.18 | 1.25 | 7.95 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |