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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 23.8x - 26.3x | 25.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 25.7x - 28.4x | 27.1x |
Fair Value | $2.41 - $7.05 | $4.73 |
Upside | -54.4% - 33.5% | -10.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
RH | RH | NYSE:RH |
Kirkland's, Inc. | KIRK | NasdaqGS:KIRK |
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | WSM | NYSE:WSM |
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc. | HVT | NYSE:HVT |
Best Buy Co., Inc. | BBY | NYSE:BBY |
Sleep Number Corporation | SNBR | NasdaqGS:SNBR |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RH | KIRK | WSM | HVT | BBY | SNBR | ||
NYSE:RH | NasdaqGS:KIRK | NYSE:WSM | NYSE:HVT | NYSE:BBY | NasdaqGS:SNBR | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -1.5% | NM- | 25.2% | -7.6% | -3.3% | -18.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -27.7% | NM- | -0.4% | -44.8% | -16.8% | -40.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -8.0% | 65.2% | 13.9% | -70.5% | 0.4% | 5.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 18.1% | -2.0% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.7% | -8.2% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.1% | -4.8% | 18.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 11.1% | -2.7% | 18.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.14x | 0.50x | 2.25x | 0.53x | 0.37x | 0.63x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.0x | -122.0x | 10.4x | 9.3x | 5.9x | 9.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 19.2x | -18.6x | 12.1x | 19.4x | 8.9x | 25.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -18.6x | 12.1x | 19.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 18.5x | 28.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 23.8x | 25.0x | 26.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 41 | 41 | 41 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 974 | 1,025 | 1,076 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (933) | (933) | (933) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 41 | 92 | 143 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 22.4 | 22.4 | 22.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.81 | 4.10 | 6.39 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.81 | 4.10 | 6.39 | 5.28 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -65.7% | -22.3% | 21.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RH | KIRK | WSM | HVT | BBY | SNBR | |
Enterprise Value | 6,798 | 227 | 17,328 | 386 | 15,398 | 1,051 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30 | 7 | 1,213 | 120 | 1,768 | 2 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 127 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (3,938) | (219) | (1,347) | (218) | (4,067) | (936) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,018 | 15 | 17,194 | 288 | 13,099 | 118 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.7 | 13.1 | 123.5 | 16.2 | 211.4 | 22.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 161.13 | 1.18 | 139.21 | 17.71 | 61.97 | 5.28 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 161.13 | 1.18 | 139.21 | 17.71 | 61.97 | 5.28 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |