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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 15.4x - 17.0x | 16.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 11.9x - 13.2x | 12.5x |
Fair Value | $116.06 - $128.28 | $122.17 |
Upside | 6.4% - 17.6% | 12.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Maximus, Inc. | - | NYSE:MMS |
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | - | NYSE:BAH |
Jacobs Solutions Inc. | - | NYSE:J |
ICF International, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ICFI |
Leidos Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:LDOS |
Science Applications International Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:SAIC |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MMS | BAH | J | ICFI | LDOS | SAIC | |||
NYSE:MMS | NYSE:BAH | NYSE:J | NasdaqGS:ICFI | NYSE:LDOS | NasdaqGS:SAIC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.0% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 1.8% | -0.3% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 9.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 52.7% | 113.1% | 20.6% | 33.4% | 530.2% | -24.1% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 6.4% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.2x | 12.1x | 12.6x | 9.6x | 10.3x | 11.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 0.8x | 1.0x | 0.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 13.7x | 16.0x | 29.7x | 14.1x | 13.6x | 14.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 13.6x | 14.1x | 29.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 13.0x | 15.8x | 27.1x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 15.4x | 16.2x | 17.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 362 | 362 | 362 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 5,563 | 5,856 | 6,149 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 47.7 | 47.7 | 47.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 116.54 | 122.67 | 128.80 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 116.54 | 122.67 | 128.80 | 109.08 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 6.8% | 12.5% | 18.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MMS | BAH | J | ICFI | LDOS | SAIC | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,811 | 13,598 | 13,610 | 1,508 | 17,040 | 5,207 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 56.6 | 126.6 | 122.5 | 18.4 | 128.2 | 47.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 67.34 | 107.37 | 111.06 | 81.79 | 132.90 | 109.08 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 67.34 | 107.37 | 111.06 | 81.79 | 132.90 | 109.08 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |