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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 10.6x - 11.7x | 11.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 10.3x - 11.3x | 10.8x |
Fair Value | $21.26 - $23.50 | $22.38 |
Upside | 17.5% - 29.9% | 23.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | - | NYSE:FUN |
United Parks & Resorts Inc. | - | NYSE:PRKS |
Churchill Downs Incorporated | - | NasdaqGS:CHDN |
Vail Resorts, Inc. | - | NYSE:MTN |
Shake Shack Inc. | - | NYSE:SHAK |
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:PLAY |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FUN | PRKS | CHDN | MTN | SHAK | PLAY | |||
NYSE:FUN | NYSE:PRKS | NasdaqGS:CHDN | NYSE:MTN | NYSE:SHAK | NasdaqGS:PLAY | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 20.5% | 25.0% | -5.2% | -12.4% | -10.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | -3.9% | 19.7% | 21.7% | NM- | -18.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -294.4% | -2.9% | 2.3% | 8.0% | -49.6% | -54.1% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -42.7% | 0.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | -1.6% | -1.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 5.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -8.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 2.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -8.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 0.8% | 2.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.6x | 7.1x | 13.3x | 9.5x | 27.8x | 8.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 1.4x | 2.8x | 1.8x | 2.8x | 0.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -13.3x | 10.3x | 17.8x | 20.5x | 325.9x | 10.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -13.3x | 17.8x | 325.9x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -12.9x | 16.6x | 66.1x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 10.6x | 11.2x | 11.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 58 | 58 | 58 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 619 | 651 | 684 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 34.5 | 34.5 | 34.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 17.92 | 18.87 | 19.81 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.92 | 18.87 | 19.81 | 18.09 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -0.9% | 4.3% | 9.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FUN | PRKS | CHDN | MTN | SHAK | PLAY | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,186 | 2,351 | 7,542 | 5,234 | 3,309 | 624 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 100.4 | 55.0 | 73.5 | 37.3 | 40.1 | 34.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 31.74 | 42.73 | 102.63 | 140.17 | 82.56 | 18.09 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.74 | 42.73 | 102.63 | 140.17 | 82.56 | 18.09 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |