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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.3x - 1.4x | 1.4x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.7x - 3.1x | 1.3x |
Fair Value | $8.73 - $9.65 | $9.19 |
Upside | -0.7% - 9.8% | 4.6% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | - | NYSE:AMR |
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | - | NYSE:HCC |
Coronado Global Resources Inc. | - | OTCPK:CODQ.L |
Worthington Steel, Inc. | - | NYSE:WS |
Steel Dynamics, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:STLD |
Ramaco Resources, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:METC |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AMR | HCC | CODQ.L | WS | STLD | METC | |||
NYSE:AMR | NYSE:HCC | OTCPK:CODQ.L | NYSE:WS | NasdaqGS:STLD | NasdaqGS:METC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -3.6% | NM- | NM- | 18.0% | -14.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | -13.4% | 18.4% | NM- | -3.3% | -21.8% | -34.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -74.0% | -47.6% | -169.8% | -35.9% | -37.3% | -85.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 18.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 28.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 16.4% | -4.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 1.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.3% | 16.4% | -4.4% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 1.7% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 37.8% | 23.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 34.6% | 18.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 48.1% | 28.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 28.8% | 23.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 11.6% | 12.6% | -9.4% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 3.1% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 10.1% | -11.1% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 10.1% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 21.8% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 21.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 1.6x | 0.2x | 0.4x | 1.0x | 0.7x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 8.7x | 9.8x | -3.9x | 12.0x | 12.0x | 41.6x | ||
Price / Book | 1.0x | 1.2x | 0.4x | 1.3x | 2.1x | 1.3x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 0.9x | 1.1x | 1.0x | 1.2x | 2.1x | 1.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.4x | 1.2x | 2.1x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.3x | 3.1x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.3x | 1.4x | 1.4x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 363 | 363 | 363 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AMR | HCC | CODQ.L | WS | STLD | METC | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,632 | 2,452 | 946 | 1,297 | 18,388 | 475 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13.1 | 52.6 | 2,327.9 | 49.5 | 149.9 | 54.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 125.06 | 46.65 | 0.41 | 26.18 | 122.67 | 8.79 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 125.06 | 46.65 | 0.41 | 26.18 | 122.67 | 8.79 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |