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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.1x - 18.9x | 18.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 15.9x - 17.6x | 16.8x |
Fair Value | $363.06 - $400.92 | $381.99 |
Upside | 39.1% - 53.6% | 46.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Under Armour, Inc. | UAA | NYSE:UAA |
Hanesbrands Inc. | HBI | NYSE:HBI |
Fossil Group, Inc. | FOSL | NasdaqGS:FOSL |
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. | GOOS | NYSE:GOOS |
Capri Holdings Limited | CPRI | NYSE:CPRI |
lululemon athletica inc. | LULU | NasdaqGS:LULU |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
UAA | HBI | FOSL | GOOS | CPRI | LULU | ||
NYSE:UAA | NYSE:HBI | NasdaqGS:FOSL | NYSE:GOOS | NYSE:CPRI | NasdaqGS:LULU | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -0.1% | -13.5% | NM- | -3.5% | -15.2% | 23.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -23.0% | -22.1% | NM- | 20.5% | 2.1% | 22.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -5.6% | 54.3% | 62.7% | -1.1% | -64.7% | 13.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.2% | 10.8% | -0.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 21.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.5% | 7.7% | -6.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 23.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.1% | 12.3% | -3.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 23.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.4% | 12.3% | -3.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 23.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 1.11x | 0.20x | 1.21x | 0.97x | 2.94x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 7.6x | -12.6x | 8.3x | 13.1x | 10.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.4x | 9.0x | -6.7x | 10.9x | 30.3x | 12.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -6.7x | 10.9x | 30.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 28.5x | 56.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.1x | 18.0x | 18.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2,506 | 2,506 | 2,506 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 42,759 | 45,009 | 47,260 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 409 | 409 | 409 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 43,167 | 45,418 | 47,668 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 120.6 | 120.6 | 120.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 357.83 | 376.48 | 395.14 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 357.83 | 376.48 | 395.14 | 261.03 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 37.1% | 44.2% | 51.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | UAA | HBI | FOSL | GOOS | CPRI | LULU | |
Enterprise Value | 2,809 | 3,730 | 231 | 1,597 | 4,491 | 31,081 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 727 | 215 | 125 | 285 | 356 | 1,984 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,305) | (2,551) | (316) | (831) | (3,117) | (1,576) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 12 | (15) | (3) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,231 | 1,554 | 52 | 1,037 | 1,727 | 31,490 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 429.9 | 353.1 | 53.3 | 96.8 | 117.9 | 120.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.19 | 4.40 | 0.97 | 10.71 | 14.65 | 261.03 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.39 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.19 | 4.40 | 0.97 | 7.71 | 14.65 | 261.03 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.39 | 1.00 | 1.00 |