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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -1.4x - -1.5x | -1.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | -3.2x - -3.5x | -3.3x |
| Fair Value | $5.04 - $6.42 | $5.73 |
| Upside | 31.0% - 66.9% | 48.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Aptiv PLC | APTV | NYSE:APTV |
| Strattec Security Corporation | STRT | NasdaqGM:STRT |
| Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. | MPAA | NasdaqGS:MPAA |
| The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company | GT | NasdaqGS:GT |
| Solid Power, Inc. | SLDP | NasdaqGS:SLDP |
| Luminar Technologies, Inc. | LAZR | NasdaqGS:LAZR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| APTV | STRT | MPAA | GT | SLDP | LAZR | ||
| NYSE:APTV | NasdaqGM:STRT | NasdaqGS:MPAA | NasdaqGS:GT | NasdaqGS:SLDP | NasdaqGS:LAZR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.7% | 5.2% | 17.5% | 1.4% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 15.7% | -13.1% | 5.9% | -6.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 57.7% | 26.7% | 6.4% | -13.0% | 24.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | -541.8% | -710.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | -451.8% | -746.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | -441.3% | -521.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | -441.3% | -521.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.96x | 0.24x | 0.54x | 0.60x | -0.85x | 6.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.1x | 3.9x | 5.8x | 7.0x | 0.2x | -1.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 7.0x | 6.9x | 16.0x | 0.2x | -1.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.2x | 5.8x | 7.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -157.6x | -5.1x | -1.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -1.4x | -1.5x | -1.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (393) | (393) | (393) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 548 | 577 | 606 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (342) | (342) | (342) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 206 | 235 | 264 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 42.4 | 42.4 | 42.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.86 | 5.54 | 6.22 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.86 | 5.54 | 6.22 | 3.85 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 26.3% | 44.0% | 61.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | APTV | STRT | MPAA | GT | SLDP | LAZR | |
| Enterprise Value | 18,841 | 135 | 406 | 11,271 | (104) | 505 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,100 | 43 | 13 | 810 | 118 | 183 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 10 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,439) | (13) | (238) | (8,786) | (9) | (535) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (293) | (24) | 0 | (150) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12,829 | 141 | 181 | 3,145 | 215 | 163 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 217.7 | 4.2 | 19.6 | 285.6 | 179.4 | 42.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 58.92 | 33.78 | 9.23 | 11.01 | 1.20 | 3.85 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 58.92 | 33.78 | 9.23 | 11.01 | 1.20 | 3.85 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |