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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 217.5x - 240.3x | 228.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 68.5x - 75.7x | 72.1x |
| Fair Value | $33.81 - $37.06 | $35.43 |
| Upside | -50.6% - -45.9% | -48.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| V2X, Inc. | VVX | NYSE:VVX |
| The Boeing Company | BA | NYSE:BA |
| AeroVironment, Inc. | AVAV | NasdaqGS:AVAV |
| VirTra, Inc. | VTSI | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
| Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | SPR | NYSE:SPR |
| Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | KTOS | NasdaqGS:KTOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VVX | BA | AVAV | VTSI | SPR | KTOS | ||
| NYSE:VVX | NYSE:BA | NasdaqGS:AVAV | NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:SPR | NasdaqGS:KTOS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 25.7% | NM- | 6.5% | 40.1% | NM- | -4.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 36.9% | NM- | NM- | 11.1% | NM- | 3.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 60.8% | -1645.8% | -14.0% | -63.1% | -110.4% | -45.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | -5.3% | 6.5% | 13.0% | -12.2% | 2.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.1% | 1.7% | 10.3% | 26.8% | -3.6% | 3.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.7% | -15.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | -27.0% | 2.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.4% | -11.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | -27.4% | 2.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.66x | 2.81x | 14.99x | 1.77x | 1.58x | 9.13x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | -30.2x | 117.8x | 12.2x | -6.8x | 166.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.1x | -23.8x | 194.0x | 19.2x | -5.8x | 467.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -23.8x | 15.1x | 194.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 84.3x | 104.0x | 150.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 217.5x | 228.9x | 240.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 24 | 24 | 24 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,154 | 5,425 | 5,696 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 494 | 494 | 494 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,648 | 5,919 | 6,191 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 168.8 | 168.8 | 168.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.46 | 35.07 | 36.68 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.46 | 35.07 | 36.68 | 68.50 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -51.2% | -48.8% | -46.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VVX | BA | AVAV | VTSI | SPR | KTOS | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,895 | 210,252 | 12,267 | 48 | 9,893 | 11,068 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 187 | 22,258 | 41 | 21 | 370 | 784 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9 | 1,036 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,139) | (55,647) | (64) | (8) | (5,433) | (289) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | (6) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (6) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,952 | 177,894 | 12,276 | 61 | 4,824 | 11,562 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.7 | 756.2 | 49.8 | 11.3 | 117.4 | 168.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 61.55 | 235.26 | 246.65 | 5.38 | 41.08 | 68.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 61.55 | 235.26 | 246.65 | 5.38 | 41.08 | 68.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |