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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.5x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
Fair Value | $172.85 - $191.04 | $181.95 |
Upside | 14.8% - 26.9% | 20.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Airbnb, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ABNB |
Sabre Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:SABR |
Despegar.com, Corp. | - | NYSE:DESP |
Booking Holdings Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:BKNG |
Hyatt Hotels Corporation | - | NYSE:H |
Expedia Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:EXPE |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
ABNB | SABR | DESP | BKNG | H | EXPE | |||
NasdaqGS:ABNB | NasdaqGS:SABR | NYSE:DESP | NasdaqGS:BKNG | NYSE:H | NasdaqGS:EXPE | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 18.2% | -5.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | 22.8% | 21.5% | 75.2% | 29.4% | 31.6% | 16.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 11.9% | 4.2% | 16.7% | 11.1% | -8.7% | 6.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -8.9% | -36.8% | -28.3% | 16.3% | -9.2% | -6.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 48.3% | -18.6% | -18.3% | 20.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 23.9% | -9.2% | -0.9% | 24.8% | 39.3% | 9.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 23.9% | -9.2% | -1.5% | 24.8% | 39.3% | 9.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.3x | 14.0x | 9.5x | 18.1x | 17.5x | 11.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.4x | 0.3x | 2.1x | 6.2x | 3.3x | 1.4x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 26.9x | -3.2x | -138.5x | 25.0x | 8.3x | 15.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 3.3x | 6.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 1.7x | 3.8x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 13,691 | 13,691 | 13,691 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 22,009 | 23,168 | 24,326 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 128.9 | 128.9 | 128.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 170.80 | 179.79 | 188.78 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 170.80 | 179.79 | 188.78 | 150.53 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.5% | 19.4% | 25.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ABNB | SABR | DESP | BKNG | H | EXPE | |
Value of Common Equity | 71,168 | 892 | 1,594 | 150,508 | 10,821 | 19,397 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 621.3 | 386.1 | 83.6 | 32.8 | 96.2 | 128.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 114.54 | 2.31 | 19.07 | 4,586.53 | 112.53 | 150.53 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 114.54 | 2.31 | 19.07 | 4,586.53 | 112.53 | 150.53 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |