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圖表
5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
82.13
USD
公允價值
99.66
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.3% - 9.3%
9.8%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
32.0x - 34.0x
33.0x
Fair Value
$95.63 - $103.83
$99.66
Upside
16.4% - 26.4%
21.3%
7.6%
Revenue 5y CAGR
29.8%
5y Avg EBITDA Margin
37.8%
Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR
5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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股價
82.13
USD
公允價值
99.66
USD
看漲
21.3%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Jan-25
Jan-26
Jan-27
Jan-28
Jan-29
Jan-30
Revenue
2,977
3,136
3,360
3,706
3,962
4,294
% Growth
7.8%
5.4%
7.1%
10.3%
6.9%
8.4%
EBITDA
287
1,012
1,127
1,316
1,228
716
% of Revenue
9.6%
32.3%
33.5%
35.5%
31.0%
16.7%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)
Jan-26
Jan-27
Jan-28
Jan-29
Jan-30
EBITDA
1,012
1,127
1,316
1,228
716
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
634
D&A
(124)
(129)
(133)
(120)
(130)
EBIT
888
998
1,183
1,108
1,220
Pro forma Taxes
(186)
(210)
(248)
(233)
(256)
NOPAT
185
701
788
935
875
964
Capital Expenditures
(97)
(98)
(104)
(111)
(91)
(89)
NWC Investment
90
67
94
145
107
139
(+) D&A
53
124
129
133
120
130
Free Cash Flow
230
794
907
1,101
1,012
1,144
% Growth
245%
14%
21%
-8%
13%
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