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美元樹公司
NASDAQGS:DLTR
美國 / 必需消費品 / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
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股息
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模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
67.53
USD
公允價值
91.79
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.8% - 7.8%
8.3%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
1.9x - 2.1x
2.0x
Fair Value
$85.11 - $98.93
$91.79
Upside
26.6% - 47.2%
36.5%
-1.6%
Revenue 10y CAGR
20.7%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
15.5%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
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儲存
股價
67.53
USD
公允價值
91.79
USD
看漲
36.5%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Feb-25
Feb-26
Feb-27
Feb-28
Feb-29
Feb-30
Feb-31
Feb-32
Feb-33
Feb-34
Feb-35
Revenue
17,579
10,764
11,437
12,076
12,658
13,368
13,836
14,112
14,394
14,682
14,976
% Growth
4.8%
-38.8%
6.2%
5.6%
4.8%
5.6%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
2,041
2,247
2,445
2,627
2,694
2,709
2,804
2,860
2,917
2,975
3,035
% of Revenue
11.6%
20.9%
21.4%
21.8%
21.3%
20.3%
20.3%
20.3%
20.3%
20.3%
20.3%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Feb-26
Feb-27
Feb-28
Feb-29
Feb-30
Feb-31
Feb-32
Feb-33
Feb-34
Feb-35
EBITDA
2,247
2,445
2,627
2,694
2,709
2,804
2,860
2,917
2,975
3,035
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(647)
(677)
(734)
(632)
(963)
(997)
(1,017)
(1,037)
(1,058)
(1,079)
EBIT
1,600
1,769
1,893
2,062
1,746
1,807
1,843
1,880
1,918
1,956
Pro forma Taxes
(368)
(407)
(435)
(474)
(402)
(416)
(424)
(432)
(441)
(450)
NOPAT
1,166
1,232
1,362
1,458
1,588
1,344
1,391
1,419
1,448
1,477
1,506
Capital Expenditures
(1,301)
(1,250)
(1,250)
(1,261)
(1,250)
(1,250)
(1,254)
(1,251)
(1,252)
(1,252)
(1,252)
NWC Investment
(85)
728
(72)
(68)
(62)
(76)
(50)
(30)
(30)
(31)
(31)
(+) D&A
527
647
677
734
632
963
997
1,017
1,037
1,058
1,079
Free Cash Flow
307
1,357
717
863
907
982
1,085
1,155
1,203
1,251
1,302
% Growth
-47%
20%
5%
8%
10%
7%
4%
4%
4%
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