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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 8.2x - 9.1x | 8.6x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 5.9x - 6.6x | 6.3x |
| Fair Value | $24.12 - $26.66 | $25.39 |
| Upside | 22.1% - 35.0% | 28.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Elastic N.V. | - | NYSE:ESTC |
| Oracle Corporation | - | NYSE:ORCL |
| Microsoft Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:MSFT |
| Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:SNCR |
| Semrush Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:SEMR |
| Confluent, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CFLT |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ESTC | ORCL | MSFT | SNCR | SEMR | CFLT | |||
| NYSE:ESTC | NYSE:ORCL | NasdaqGS:MSFT | NasdaqCM:SNCR | NYSE:SEMR | NasdaqGS:CFLT | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.1% | 6.0% | 14.3% | -10.9% | 32.5% | 45.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 27.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | -2.9% | 26.1% | 35.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.9% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 22.5% | 24.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -17.5% | 22.3% | 35.3% | -13.4% | -3.9% | -70.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -22.1% | 17.0% | 34.1% | -26.8% | 0.3% | -57.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 19.8% | 36.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | -35.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.3% | 21.8% | 35.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | -31.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -114.8x | 22.3x | 21.9x | 11.5x | 82.0x | -15.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.1x | 7.5x | 12.0x | 0.6x | 4.1x | 6.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -65.4x | 34.4x | 33.5x | 23.8x | 186.9x | -21.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 6.1x | 12.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 9.8x | 10.9x | 59.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 8.2x | 8.6x | 9.1x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,018 | 1,018 | 1,018 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,339 | 8,778 | 9,216 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 340.4 | 340.4 | 340.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 24.50 | 25.79 | 27.08 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.50 | 25.79 | 27.08 | 19.75 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 24.0% | 30.6% | 37.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ESTC | ORCL | MSFT | SNCR | SEMR | CFLT | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,693 | 418,644 | 3,241,853 | 109 | 1,539 | 6,723 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 104.4 | 2,804.2 | 7,432.5 | 10.8 | 148.2 | 340.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 83.26 | 149.29 | 436.17 | 10.12 | 10.39 | 19.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 83.26 | 149.29 | 436.17 | 10.12 | 10.39 | 19.75 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |