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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -10.6x - -11.7x | -11.1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -32.8x - -36.3x | -34.5x |
Fair Value | $1.44 - $1.79 | $1.62 |
Upside | 3.6% - 28.9% | 16.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Onto Innovation Inc. | ONTO | NYSE:ONTO |
Veeco Instruments Inc. | VECO | NasdaqGS:VECO |
Qorvo, Inc. | QRVO | NasdaqGS:QRVO |
MKS Instruments, Inc. | MKSI | NasdaqGS:MKSI |
KLA Corporation | KLAC | NasdaqGS:KLAC |
AXT, Inc. | AXTI | NasdaqGS:AXTI |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ONTO | VECO | QRVO | MKSI | KLAC | AXTI | ||
NYSE:ONTO | NasdaqGS:VECO | NasdaqGS:QRVO | NasdaqGS:MKSI | NasdaqGS:KLAC | NasdaqGS:AXTI | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 55.3% | NM- | 9.7% | 13.4% | 21.2% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 6.1% | 9.2% | -23.7% | -11.2% | 13.5% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 61.2% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 34.9% | 17.3% | 31.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.8% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 36.4% | -2.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 38.0% | -28.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 19.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 37.0% | -14.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 19.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 38.2% | -14.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.36x | 1.41x | 1.60x | 2.27x | 7.27x | 1.46x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.3x | 10.2x | 10.3x | 9.4x | 17.4x | -24.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 23.0x | 13.6x | 21.7x | 15.7x | 19.0x | -9.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 13.6x | 19.0x | 23.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -472.1x | -9.1x | 33.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -10.6x | -11.1x | -11.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (15) | (15) | (15) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 157 | 165 | 173 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (84) | (84) | (84) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 73 | 81 | 89 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 44.1 | 44.1 | 44.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.66 | 1.84 | 2.03 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.66 | 1.84 | 2.03 | 1.39 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 19.1% | 32.6% | 46.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ONTO | VECO | QRVO | MKSI | KLAC | AXTI | |
Enterprise Value | 4,574 | 1,047 | 6,460 | 8,396 | 84,791 | 145 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 852 | 344 | 769 | 714 | 3,780 | 23 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
(-) Debt | (15) | (314) | (1,549) | (4,780) | (6,073) | (56) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (62) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (4) | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,411 | 1,077 | 5,706 | 4,330 | 82,499 | 61 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 49.3 | 57.9 | 93.4 | 67.4 | 132.9 | 44.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 109.83 | 18.59 | 61.09 | 64.27 | 620.82 | 1.39 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 109.83 | 18.59 | 61.09 | 64.27 | 620.82 | 1.39 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |