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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 213.2x - 235.6x | 224.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 22.5x - 24.9x | 23.7x |
| Fair Value | $9.39 - $10.24 | $9.82 |
| Upside | -34.4% - -28.5% | -31.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Commvault Systems, Inc. | CVLT | NasdaqGS:CVLT |
| Varonis Systems, Inc. | VRNS | NasdaqGS:VRNS |
| Rubrik, Inc. | RBRK | NYSE:RBRK |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | CDNS | NasdaqGS:CDNS |
| Five9, Inc. | FIVN | NasdaqGM:FIVN |
| AvePoint, Inc. | AVPT | NasdaqGS:AVPT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CVLT | VRNS | RBRK | CDNS | FIVN | AVPT | ||
| NasdaqGS:CVLT | NasdaqGS:VRNS | NYSE:RBRK | NasdaqGS:CDNS | NasdaqGM:FIVN | NasdaqGS:AVPT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 32.4% | NM- | NM- | 22.7% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 24.0% | NM- | NM- | 21.2% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 5.3% | -270.0% | 9.0% | 68.0% | 146.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | -25.8% | -80.9% | 27.6% | -6.4% | -14.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | -23.5% | -48.8% | 31.2% | -10.1% | -5.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.5% | -20.1% | -127.9% | 29.9% | -2.8% | 2.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.9% | -20.1% | -127.9% | 29.9% | -2.8% | 2.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.73x | 7.38x | 12.85x | 15.22x | 1.85x | 7.97x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 70.6x | -40.7x | -10.2x | 44.5x | 81.8x | 209.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 75.3x | -36.6x | -10.0x | 50.9x | -65.4x | 367.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -65.4x | -10.0x | 75.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -56.8x | -14.9x | 367.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 213.2x | 224.4x | 235.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7 | 7 | 7 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,528 | 1,608 | 1,688 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 273 | 273 | 273 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,800 | 1,881 | 1,961 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 202.9 | 202.9 | 202.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.87 | 9.27 | 9.67 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.87 | 9.27 | 9.67 | 14.32 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -38.0% | -35.3% | -32.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CVLT | VRNS | RBRK | CDNS | FIVN | AVPT | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,342 | 4,066 | 11,391 | 70,532 | 1,923 | 2,633 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 244 | 571 | 705 | 2,785 | 1,006 | 291 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 8 | 659 | 0 | 124 | 1 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (12) | (754) | (351) | (2,627) | (1,233) | (17) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (2) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,582 | 4,541 | 11,745 | 70,814 | 1,696 | 2,905 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 44.0 | 112.6 | 189.8 | 274.3 | 76.2 | 202.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 149.60 | 40.35 | 61.89 | 258.15 | 22.25 | 14.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 149.60 | 40.35 | 61.89 | 258.15 | 22.25 | 14.32 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |