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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.3x - 1.4x | 1.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | $5.26 - $5.79 | $5.53 |
| Upside | 40.4% - 54.4% | 47.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Guess?, Inc. | GES | NYSE:GES |
| Warby Parker Inc. | WRBY | NYSE:WRBY |
| EVgo, Inc. | EVGO | NasdaqGS:EVGO |
| Victoria's Secret & Co. | VSCO | NYSE:VSCO |
| Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. | LVLU | NasdaqGM:LVLU |
| Xcel Brands, Inc. | XELB | NasdaqCM:XELB |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| GES | WRBY | EVGO | VSCO | LVLU | XELB | |||
| NYSE:GES | NYSE:WRBY | NasdaqGS:EVGO | NYSE:VSCO | NasdaqGM:LVLU | NasdaqCM:XELB | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.2% | 15.8% | 71.1% | -3.7% | 3.6% | -12.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 14.0% | 12.6% | 126.1% | -2.8% | 12.6% | -15.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.3% | 15.2% | 59.6% | 0.8% | -12.5% | -52.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.5% | -13.9% | -250.1% | 8.2% | 0.1% | -59.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.5% | -10.3% | -89.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | -87.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | -3.7% | -48.9% | 5.2% | -5.7% | -109.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | -3.7% | -48.9% | 5.2% | -7.8% | -133.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.67x | 2.94x | 4.13x | 0.64x | 0.15x | 0.86x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | -79.3x | -8.4x | 12.2x | -2.0x | -0.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.20x | 2.98x | 3.45x | 0.25x | 0.05x | 0.93x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.67x | 4.13x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -0.23x | 1.37x | 1.42x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.27x | 1.34x | 1.40x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12 | 12 | 13 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.28 | 5.55 | 5.81 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.28 | 5.55 | 5.81 | 3.75 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 40.9% | 47.9% | 54.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GES | WRBY | EVGO | VSCO | LVLU | XELB | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,953 | 2,322 | 1,045 | 3,990 | 50 | 8 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 141 | 254 | 117 | 227 | 6 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 10 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,473) | (225) | (90) | (2,698) | (38) | (11) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (40) | 0 | (700) | (24) | 0 | 2 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 590 | 2,353 | 373 | 1,542 | 18 | 9 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 51.5 | 120.9 | 133.5 | 78.9 | 41.9 | 2.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.46 | 19.47 | 2.79 | 19.55 | 0.44 | 3.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.46 | 19.47 | 2.79 | 19.55 | 0.44 | 3.75 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |