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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.7x - 1.9x | 1.8x |
| Fair Value | $1.38 - $1.47 | $1.43 |
| Upside | -26.7% - -22.2% | -24.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation | YZCF.F | OTCPK:YZCF.F |
| Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited | SHAN.F | OTCPK:SHAN.F |
| SPT Energy Group Inc. | SEGY.Y | OTCPK:SEGY.Y |
| China Oilfield Services Limited | CHOL.F | OTCPK:CHOL.F |
| Anton Oilfield Services Group | ATON.F | OTCPK:ATON.F |
| Recon Technology, Ltd. | RCON | NasdaqCM:RCON |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| YZCF.F | SHAN.F | SEGY.Y | CHOL.F | ATON.F | RCON | |||
| OTCPK:YZCF.F | OTCPK:SHAN.F | OTCPK:SEGY.Y | OTCPK:CHOL.F | OTCPK:ATON.F | NasdaqCM:RCON | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.0% | -20.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | -7.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 5.3% | -28.7% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 12.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | 2.9% | -0.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | -1.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.7% | -8.6% | 3.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | -89.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.6% | -15.8% | 4.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | -101.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.2% | -9.4% | 2.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | -104.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.2% | -9.4% | -1.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | -115.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 2.71x | 0.24x | 1.21x | 0.67x | 3.98x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.3x | -33.6x | -13.0x | 11.6x | 4.8x | -3.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.36x | 1.70x | 0.06x | 1.09x | 0.61x | 5.78x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.24x | 0.67x | 2.71x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -1.21x | 1.34x | 13.45x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.55x | 2.68x | 2.81x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 66 | 66 | 66 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 167 | 176 | 185 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 119 | 119 | 119 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 286 | 295 | 304 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.22 | 10.53 | 10.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.49 | 1.89 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.7% | -23.4% | -21.1% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YZCF.F | SHAN.F | SEGY.Y | CHOL.F | ATON.F | RCON | |
| Enterprise Value | 51,744 | 2,223 | 526 | 73,988 | 3,880 | 266 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,999 | 89 | 276 | 11,475 | 2,191 | 145 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 389 | 5 | 13 | 1,194 | 111 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,447) | (1,456) | (636) | (17,903) | (2,464) | (38) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 17 | (627) | (110) | 12 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 34,684 | 861 | 195 | 68,127 | 3,607 | 385 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 72,835.7 | 885.5 | 116.6 | 10,372.9 | 3,565.1 | 28.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.48 | 0.97 | 1.68 | 6.57 | 1.01 | 13.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.90 | 0.14 | 1.89 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | 7.28 | |