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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -2.5x - -2.8x | -2.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | -3.3x - -3.7x | -3.5x |
| Fair Value | $1.66 - $1.78 | $1.72 |
| Upside | -12.0% - -6.1% | -9.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation | YZCF.F | OTCPK:YZCF.F |
| SPT Energy Group Inc. | SEGY.Y | OTCPK:SEGY.Y |
| Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery Company Limited | SHAN.F | OTCPK:SHAN.F |
| Jutal Offshore Oil Services Limited | JUTO.F | OTCPK:JUTO.F |
| China Oilfield Services Limited | CHOL.F | OTCPK:CHOL.F |
| Recon Technology, Ltd. | RCON | NasdaqCM:RCON |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| YZCF.F | SEGY.Y | SHAN.F | JUTO.F | CHOL.F | RCON | ||
| OTCPK:YZCF.F | OTCPK:SEGY.Y | OTCPK:SHAN.F | OTCPK:JUTO.F | OTCPK:CHOL.F | NasdaqCM:RCON | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.6% | -14.4% | -42.9% | 17.6% | 4.1% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | NM- | -47.5% | 19.1% | 12.0% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.3% | -81.6% | 87.5% | -36.8% | 6.8% | 0.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 10.6% | 21.9% | -85.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 7.2% | 0.2% | 21.3% | 20.2% | -96.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 16.8% | 20.0% | -99.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 16.8% | 20.4% | -110.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 0.24x | 2.92x | 0.32x | 1.22x | 4.02x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | 19.4x | 100.6x | 1.9x | 6.0x | -3.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.4x | -12.9x | -51.9x | 2.6x | 11.2x | -3.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.9x | 9.0x | 100.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -18.8x | -1.6x | 1.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.5x | -2.6x | -2.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (73) | (73) | (73) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 181 | 191 | 200 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 119 | 119 | 119 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 300 | 309 | 319 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.71 | 11.06 | 11.40 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.49 | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.89 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.3% | -18.8% | -16.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YZCF.F | SEGY.Y | SHAN.F | JUTO.F | CHOL.F | RCON | |
| Enterprise Value | 49,173 | 523 | 2,051 | 583 | 60,971 | 262 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,868 | 276 | 431 | 794 | 7,870 | 145 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 368 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1,178 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,861) | (636) | (1,453) | (107) | (18,170) | (38) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | (664) | 12 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 30,548 | 193 | 1,034 | 1,271 | 51,185 | 381 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 64,854.5 | 116.6 | 1,074.9 | 2,485.0 | 9,236.2 | 28.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.47 | 1.66 | 0.96 | 0.51 | 5.54 | 13.61 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.77 | 1.89 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 7.20 | |