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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11.8x - 13.0x | 12.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.2x - 13.5x | 12.9x |
| Fair Value | $3.56 - $4.75 | $4.16 |
| Upside | -19.8% - 7.0% | -6.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | BJRI | NasdaqGS:BJRI |
| Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. | RAVE | NasdaqCM:RAVE |
| El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | LOCO | NasdaqGS:LOCO |
| Noodles & Company | NDLS | NasdaqGS:NDLS |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | CMG | NYSE:CMG |
| Denny's Corporation | DENN | NasdaqCM:DENN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BJRI | RAVE | LOCO | NDLS | CMG | DENN | ||
| NasdaqGS:BJRI | NasdaqCM:RAVE | NasdaqGS:LOCO | NasdaqGS:NDLS | NYSE:CMG | NasdaqCM:DENN | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.8% | 17.1% | -0.1% | NM- | 32.4% | -7.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 40.9% | -2.5% | NM- | 33.3% | -6.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 59.8% | 23.4% | 0.2% | -457.9% | 20.2% | -21.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.0% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 0.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 18.1% | 7.7% | 0.7% | 16.2% | 13.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 24.2% | 8.8% | -1.5% | 17.3% | 10.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.1% | 26.7% | 8.3% | -2.0% | 17.4% | 10.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.06x | 2.50x | 1.14x | 0.28x | 6.41x | 1.38x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 8.9x | 9.8x | 7.1x | 31.4x | 9.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 34.7x | 9.4x | 13.7x | -14.1x | 36.7x | 13.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -14.1x | 13.7x | 36.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.9x | 14.9x | 43.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.8x | 12.4x | 13.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 47 | 47 | 47 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 559 | 588 | 617 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (397) | (397) | (397) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 161 | 191 | 220 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.15 | 3.72 | 4.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.15 | 3.72 | 4.29 | 4.44 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -29.1% | -16.2% | -3.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BJRI | RAVE | LOCO | NDLS | CMG | DENN | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,447 | 31 | 543 | 137 | 72,886 | 625 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1,415 | 2 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 718 | 16 | |
| (-) Debt | (507) | (1) | (262) | (101) | (4,633) | (415) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 964 | 39 | 285 | 38 | 70,386 | 228 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22.1 | 14.7 | 30.1 | 45.9 | 1,347.4 | 51.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 43.58 | 2.63 | 9.50 | 0.83 | 52.24 | 4.44 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 43.58 | 2.63 | 9.50 | 0.83 | 52.24 | 4.44 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |