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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 27.7x - 30.6x | 29.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.2x - 14.6x | 13.9x |
| Fair Value | $13.49 - $14.83 | $14.16 |
| Upside | -41.2% - -35.3% | -38.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Axon Enterprise, Inc. | AXON | NasdaqGS:AXON |
| Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | KTOS | NasdaqGS:KTOS |
| Bantec, Inc. | BANT | PINC:BANT |
| AeroVironment, Inc. | AVAV | NasdaqGS:AVAV |
| Mercury Systems, Inc. | MRCY | NasdaqGS:MRCY |
| Byrna Technologies Inc. | BYRN | NasdaqCM:BYRN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AXON | KTOS | BANT | AVAV | MRCY | BYRN | ||
| NasdaqGS:AXON | NasdaqGS:KTOS | PINC:BANT | NasdaqGS:AVAV | NasdaqGS:MRCY | NasdaqCM:BYRN | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 78.2% | 2.5% | NM- | 19.0% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 9.7% | NM- | 16.3% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -29.9% | 11.6% | -6.1% | -43.4% | 173.5% | 318.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.6% | 6.4% | -58.2% | 14.2% | 11.4% | -19.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | 6.3% | -71.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | -15.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 6.4% | -64.8% | 15.3% | -3.8% | 9.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.0% | 6.4% | -51.1% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 10.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 21.77x | 4.41x | 4.37x | 5.64x | 3.78x | 5.26x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 361.9x | 68.4x | -8.6x | 57.6x | 130.4x | 49.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 589.9x | 152.2x | -8.6x | 120.3x | -56.0x | 58.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -8.6x | 68.4x | 361.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -617.5x | -19.2x | 132.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 27.7x | 29.2x | 30.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 10 | 10 | 10 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 280 | 295 | 310 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 17 | 17 | 17 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 297 | 312 | 327 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 13.11 | 13.76 | 14.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13.11 | 13.76 | 14.41 | 22.94 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -42.9% | -40.0% | -37.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AXON | KTOS | BANT | AVAV | MRCY | BYRN | |
| Enterprise Value | 44,671 | 5,066 | 13 | 4,160 | 3,384 | 503 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 986 | 329 | 0 | 47 | 243 | 19 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 333 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (731) | (292) | (13) | (59) | (653) | (3) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 45,259 | 5,103 | 0 | 4,173 | 2,974 | 520 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.6 | 153.3 | 53.5 | 28.0 | 59.7 | 22.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 590.67 | 33.29 | 0.00 | 148.95 | 49.83 | 22.94 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 590.67 | 33.29 | 0.00 | 148.95 | 49.83 | 22.94 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |